Minor League Game Review – 5/1/12 Doug Gray May 2, 2012 19 Comments 5/1 Game Review Louisville lost 5-4 in 10 innings. Box Score Kristopher Negron went 2-5 with a triple, HR (1) and 2 runs. Neftali Soto went 2-4 with a double and a walk. Mike Costanzo went 2-3 with a walk and an RBI. Corky miller went 2-4. Brett Tomko allowed 2 earned in 5 innings with 5 walks and 4 strikeouts. Game notes After Durham took a 1 run lead in the bottom of the 8th, Kristopher Negron hit a tying solo home run with 2 outs to send the game to extra innings. Josh Judy was unable to hold the lead though and allowed the winning run in the bottom of the 10th. Neftali Soto continues to heat up as he extended his hitting streak to 6 games. Over his last 9 games he is hitting .343 with 6 doubles and 4 walks. Game links Postgame article from BatsBaseball.com. Pensacola won 5-4 in 10 innings. Box Score Ryan LaMarre went 1-4 with a double, walk and RBI. Henry Rodriguez went 2-4 with a walk. Josh Fellhauer went 1-4 with a walk and a run. Koyie Hill went 2-5 with a double, RBI and a run. Cody Puckett went 3-4 with a HR (2), walk, 2 runs and 3 RBI. Wirfin Obispo threw 3 perfect innings of relief with 2 strikeouts. Justin Freeman threw a shutout inning of relief with 2 strikeouts. Donnie Joseph threw 2 shutout innings of relief with a strikeout. Game notes Jackson took a 4-0 lead heading into the bottom of the 3rd inning, but was not able to score again. The Blue Wahoos put up four runs between the 3rd and the 6th before Koyie Hill was able to score on a Cody Puckett single in the bottom of the 10th. Puckett has quietly put together a strong first month of the season, now hitting .307/.435/.453 with 17 walks and 18 strikeouts. Henry Rodriguez was able to extend his hitting streak to 9 games. In that stretch he is hitting .389 with 4 walks and just 3 strikeouts. Donnie Joseph is now up to 12 innings on the season without an earned run. He also has an incredibly 19.00 groundout-to-fly out rate this season. Game links Postgame article from BlueWahoos.com. Bakersfield lost 5-4. Box Score Billy Hamilton went 2-4 with a double. Donald Lutz went 1-4 with a run. Travis Mattair went 1-3 with a walk, 2 runs and a solo HR (6). David Vidal went 1-3 with a walk, RBI and a run. AJ Means went 2-4 with 2 RBI. Jamie Walczak threw 2 shutout innings of relief with 4 strikeouts. Blaine Howell threw a scoreless inning of relief. Game notes The Blaze had a 4 run deficit heading into the bottom of the 9th inning and made a good bid for the comeback as they fell one run short. Billy Hamilton’s two hits pushed him back over the .400 mark, now hitting .402/.481/.598 on the season. He went without a steal in the game for the first time in 8 games. Travis Mattair hit his 6th home run of the season, tying him for the team lead. Game links Postgame article from BakersfieldBlaze.com. Dayton was off Game preview Team 1st half 2nd half Time Probable Box Score Listen Live Watch Live Louisville 9-17 N/A 11:05am Francis Here Here Here Pensacola 12-14 N/A 8:00pm Villarreal Here Here N/A Bakersfield 14-10 N/A 10:15pm Cingrani Here Here N/A Dayton 12-13 N/A 7:00pm French Here Here N/A 19 Responses The Duke May 2, 2012 Hamilton’s increased contact rate this year has been remarkable. His BABIP has to be pretty high with his speed as well. Perhaps ridiculously high considering he is hitting .402. After the small sample so far, it feels like Pensacola is more of a pitchers park, but that is through only 10 games so far and I am going from memory, so I could be completely wrongI’ about that. I’ll be going to the Dragons game tonight. It’ll be interesting to see what kind of velo French is getting, and if his command of the zone is as good as advertised. Doug Gray May 2, 2012 His BABIP after last night is .493. With a normalized for him BABIP of .357, he would be hitting .293/.389/.489. Still a very strong line. French has been in the 86-88 range so far from what I have seen. Terry M May 2, 2012 Did we give San Diego the wrong pitcher ?? Volquez had another good start last night….. Alan Horn May 2, 2012 That’s my biggest fear. We trade players that haven’t performed that well for us and someone turns them around on the other club. I especially fear that with the young players. So far, Grandal appears to be the only one of the young players traded that we will miss. As time passes, that could change. Grandal was blocked by Mesoraco, but you have to wonder what he could have brought in a different trade for a player of need at a different position. Foxred May 2, 2012 He is still walking a lot. Petco was always going to help him avoid the big inning as HR’s are scaarce there. If his road stats hold up, then I will agree with you, but so far I’m still fine with the trade. I just wouldn’t have included Boxberger. Doug Gray May 2, 2012 No, we didn’t. He has a league leading 18 walks in 37 innings. He has allowed 2 home runs in 37 innings. In most other parks he would have probably given up a few more. DaveCT May 2, 2012 Addition by subtraction. jim t May 2, 2012 Doug, I no it s early but Hamilton’s start is very encourraging. An area I felt he needed to elevate was his walk to strike out rate. He has done that. I understand that the league is deemed a hitters league but in this case looking at his walk to K rate wouldn’t that have little bearing on where he played. It is a contact issue. Doug Gray May 2, 2012 Well, parks actually can lead to more/less walks/strikeouts, but it generally isn’t much of a swing one way or the other. I am with you on Hamilton and his walk/strikeout rates. Both are going in the right direction. I would still like to see Hamilton get his strikeout rate below 15% though. He has time to keep improving though. Hopefully he can keep trending in the right directions. Krozley May 2, 2012 With nobody in the Louisville outfield currently earning any consideration, Cody Puckett could play himself into the equation for a 2013 bench spot with the Reds. LaMarre and Fellhauer could be eying that spot as well. A long season to go, however. Doug Gray May 2, 2012 I doubt that LaMarre winds up on the bench in the next few seasons. He is seen as more of a prospect than the other guys and is also a little younger. They will keep him playing every day. Fellhauer and Puckett could each bring different things to the table. Mike May 2, 2012 Hey Doug, this might be a dumb question, but what kind of hits is Hamilton getting? Is he driving the ball into the gaps, or are most of his hits infield hits where he can use his speed and average defense to get on? Thanks. Doug Gray May 2, 2012 I haven’t gone through the game logs to get the hit locations for it, but given that his BABIP is nearly .500, I am sure some of it is his speed and the defenses as well as some incredible luck. As I noted above, with a normal BABIP (of .360, which was his BABIP last season), his average drops to .293. Still, his season would be very good if that is what would have happened to this point. Scott from upstate NY May 2, 2012 I’m curious in the world of baseball scouting/evaluation has the statistical analysis evolved to include a factor of the quality of the opposition faced? Or is average still the norm? In other words I would be more impressed with a batter that fared well against a top pitcher, rather than say the #5 starter in the rotation. I was wondering to what degree is that kind of situation noted – more than say a footnote? Doug Gray May 2, 2012 It doesn’t really go into it much. Scouts can generally tell how your tools grade out regardless of your competition. jim t May 2, 2012 Back in my military dayslte 1970’s I played alot of softball. Had a CMSGT for a coach that we all felt was OC. He actually was tried of hearing the complaints about who should be playing and where they should bat. He recruited a guy to keep stats. Not just how you were hitting but how hard you hit it and where. When you started to complain about playing time he would whip out his stats. That usually ended the debate. Had no idea this guy was on the cutting edge of scouting.LOL The Duke May 2, 2012 Just looked up Lake County’s roster and i’ll get to see Francisco Lindor play tonight. I always like to see a top prospect roll through town. Luigi Rodriguez is having a real nice start for them too. Doug Gray May 2, 2012 I may head up tomorrow night if I can. Just depends on how my schedule works out. I would like to see Quezada pitch in person, but it might get pushed back until his next home start. Alan Horn May 2, 2012 Looks like the Reds had 4 quality catchers last year(majors and upper minors). How unusual is that? Hernandez is putting up some good numbers with the Rockies. Hannigan is doing ok, Mesoraco is ok so far and Grandal was putting up good numbers at AAA before his injury.