RedsMinorLeagues.com 2013 Top Prospects List #11-15 Doug Gray October 31, 2012 25 Comments To see the other parts of the Top 25 Prospect List, click here. 15. Dan Langfield – RHP – 21 Years Old – RK+ Acquired: 3rd Round, 2012 Draft The Good: He has four average or better pitches with a plus slider and above-average fastball. He came out and struck out 54 batters in 37 innings in his initial exposure to professional hitters. Needs to work on: Control is a bit of a concern as he walked 17 batters in those 37 innings. If his control can improve, he could move quickly but if not he may wind up in the bullpen with more of a two-pitch combo. 2012 Stats Tm W L ERA G SV IP H HR BB SO WHIP BB% K% Billings 3 0 2.68 15 0 37 27 1 17 54 1.19 10.6% 33.8% Video – Not Available 14. Ismael Guillon – LHP – 20 Years Old – A- Acquired: NDFA, October 2008 The Good: At times he can feature an above-average to plus fastball to go along with a potentially plus change up and a curveball that he can throw for strikes. Needs to work on: Control was a problem in Billings, but was not bad while he was in Dayton during the 2012 season. Overall it has been a concern for his career though. 2012 Stats Tm W L ERA G SV IP H HR BB SO WHIP BB% K% Billings 4 1 2.29 11 0 51.0 39 1 24 63 1.24 11.3% 29.6% Dayton 2 0 2.55 4 0 24.2 22 2 7 27 1.18 7.1% 27.6% Total 6 1 2.38 15 0 75.2 61 3 31 90 1.22 10.0% 28.9% Video 13. Jeff Gelalich – OF – 21 Years Old – RK+ Acquired: 1st Round, 2012 Draft The Good: Gelalich is a strong defender in the corners and profiles to be a solid hitter across the board with average and moderate power. Needs to work on: It is tough to say anything other than plate discipline, as he played with a hand injury in 2012 that sapped his numbers. His strikeouts were more of an issue than his walks, but how much of that had to do with his hand injury is yet to be seen. 2012 Stats Tm PA 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG Billings 146 7 2 2 9 4 1 14 42 .244 .336 .378 Video – Not Available 12. Chad Rogers – RHP – 22 Years Old – AA Acquired: 28th Round, 2010 Draft The Good: He pounds the bottom of the strikezone and generates a high rate of groundballs with an above-average fastball. He can use his above-average slider as an out pitch when he needs a strikeout. While I didn’t see it while he was in Bakersfield, he was throwing a third pitch while in Pensacola leaving open the chance he can remain a starter. Needs to work on: Developing a third pitch better in order to remain a starter. 2012 Stats Tm W L ERA G SV IP H HR BB SO WHIP BB% K% Bakersfield 6 4 3.15 21 0 111.1 113 11 29 88 1.28 6.3% 19.0% Pensacola 3 1 1.99 6 0 31.2 27 3 6 23 1.04 5.0% 19.0% Total 9 5 2.90 27 0 143.0 140 14 35 111 1.22 6.0% 19.0% Video 11. Tanner Rahier – 3B – 18 Years Old – RK- Acquired: 2nd Round, 2012 Draft The Good: Rahier has good power potential and showed off solid plate discipline in his initial exposure to professional baseball. Needs to work on: He struggled defensively and in a hitter friendly league he did struggle when he put the ball in play to show the raw power and hit tools scouts talk about. 2012 Stats Tm PA 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG AZL 219 9 1 4 30 5 2 21 43 .192 .266 .311 Video – Unavailable 25 Responses clint October 31, 2012 I love Langfield.He’s 10th on my list. The Duke October 31, 2012 My 11-25 11) David Vidal, 3B, AA 12) Ryan Lamarre, CF, AA 13) Tanner Rahier, 3B, AZL 14) Kyle Lotzkar, SP, AA 15) Tucker Barnhart, C, AA 16) Donale Lutz, LF/1B, AA 17) Jeff Gelalich, OF, Rk 18) Chad Rogers, P, AA 19) Dan Langfield, P, Rk 20) Drew Cisco, SP, Rk 21) Seth Mejias-Brean, 3B, Rk 22) Ryan Wright, 2B, A+ 23) Bryson Smith, OF, AA 24) Pedro Villareal, P, AAA 25) Theo Bowe, OF, A+ I’m a believer in Vidal’s bat, and his defense is beyond doubt. If he can hit even .270 as a big leaguer, his pop ans defense will make him a valuable player and starter who can hit 6th, or possibly 2nd if he can walk enough. Lamarre is similar, except his question is contact. Not much power, but a plus runner, a plus defender, a plus arm, and plus raw tools. I think if they could rework his swing to get rid of that hitch he could hit for much more power. Rahier has great scouting reports ane good tools. Some thought he was a 1st rd value, and I won’t let rookie ball stats worry me too much about a high schooler. Lotzkar finally pitched a full season. Even with him obviously wearing down the last 6 weeks or so, it was a huge accomplishment for him. When he was on, he was near unhittable at times. Still has #3 upside and should have better endurance in 2013 as long as he can stay healthy. Barnhart is Hanigan 2.0, but more athletic. That is a valuanble piece if he can just put bat on ball enough. Jer-B October 31, 2012 Duke, I like your list, pretty similar to how I see our prospects. I probably wouldn’t have Vidal so high though. Love his upside, just hasn’t shown me much consistency with his bat yet. I’m hoping he takes a big step this year. I take it you have Guillion in your top ten? The Duke October 31, 2012 That’s a pretty good guess. I’m higher on Vidal than most. I like his swing. jimmy October 31, 2012 Duke you look to be right on the money with your prospect list so far! I do like Vidal and LaMarre higher then where Doug had them. Norwood Nate October 31, 2012 That’s pretty much who I expected to see there, especially after the last two installments. Although I penciled in Guillon as #10. But with the absence of YRod from the list, and my doubt that Doug would have dropped him completely off the list (especially since Rosa still made it), I fully expect to see him at #9 or #10 tomorrow. I personally would have slotted him 15-20 range because while he has all the tools, he hasn’t put it together on the field. ETA: my 11-25 11 Rahier 12 Lutz 13 Vidal 14 LaMarre 15 Barnhart 16 YRod 17 Rogers 18 Langfield 19 Mejias-Brean 20 Soto 21 Wright 22 Bryson Smith 23 Gelalich 24 Villareal 25 Cisco Stock October 31, 2012 I think Yorman may have been dropped from the top 25. The top 7 are in stone. Options for spots 8-10 include Henry Rodriguez (a lock), Lotzkar (I would be extremely surprised if he isn’t on the list), Waldrop and Yorman. Norwood Nate October 31, 2012 Yeah, I would have HRod and Lotzkar in my top 9. I’m just not too sure on Waldrop. jim t October 31, 2012 Stock, I think Y-rod makes the list. He has as good a tools as anyone in the system. Very high ceiling. He is a guy I hope really gets it together this year. Jimmer October 31, 2012 It’s going to be hard to take this list seriously if Yorman is in the top 10. Doug Gray October 31, 2012 19 year olds who hold their own in the Midwest League with plus tools making a Top 10 list? There were all of 9 teenage position players in the league this season who got 139+ at bats (BR strange cut off point for league leaders). Clearly work to do on his part, particularly from the plate discipline standpoint. I think of him more like a Juan Francisco guy. Different package all around, but similar problems. Sultan of Swaff October 31, 2012 I’m not seeing it with Chad Rogers. Too many hits per inning, too few strikeouts. Generally those numbers will get even worse as he climbs the ladder. Guillon has the numbers you want to see. Only 3 homers given up? That’s impressive. Doug Gray October 31, 2012 Chad Rogers had a 19% strikeout rate and is a groundball machine. His K/9 is a tad lower than his strikeout rate would suggest because he doesn’t walk guys. I just see him as a really safe bet to be a quality Major Leaguer (assuming he doesn’t get hurt). jim t October 31, 2012 Doug, I agree. He could be a nice pitcher in GABP. Ground balls and he misses bats. MK October 31, 2012 I’ve mentioned before I’ve talked to a scout who says many of them have Rogers ahead of Corcino Stock October 31, 2012 Rosa, Gelalich and Rahier need to show me something before they crack my yop 25. It will be interesting to see if they figure it out next year. By the end of next year we could be really deep at 3B with Rodriguez, Vidal, Brean and Rahier. I think Rodriguez has the lowest ceiling of these 4 but would love to see how Doug ranks their ceilings. 11 Lutz 12 Langfield 13 H Rodriguez 14 Vidal 15 Lamarre Some nice high ceiling players in this group. RobL October 31, 2012 I’m sorry, but I have to talk about Waldrop now, because I’ll be away from a computer for about a week. I can only assume that he has been left out of the Top 25. This guy put up a solid year at Dayton with above average numbers for the league. He has a 2:1 K/BB ratio. And he was only 20 years old. He only negative was a lack of power. He did show some pop, but he does need more. I just can’t see a D1 football recruit not having more power in his 6’3 frame. I know he’s a corner outfielder only, and he’s rough out there, but the kid is showing the ability to handle the bat. Not being in the top 25 seems like a big miss. Krozley October 31, 2012 I don’t know where Waldrop would fit in Doug’s list (I have him at 24), but I have trouble having him below Bryson Smith. Not a cut on Smith, I just like Waldrop’s ceiling better. Terry M October 31, 2012 I think your right on Kyle. Hope he has a break out year in Bakersfield… Stock October 31, 2012 Tomorrow will be interesting. I think Waldrop makes Doug’s top 10 and Yorman does not, mostly because I can understand Yorman not making the top 25 a lot more than Waldrop not making the top 25. Doug Gray October 31, 2012 Waldrop is right there on the edge of the Top 25. He seems more fringe 4th outfielder for me though. Not a real standout tool and only solid production to this point. On day one I was asked if it was hard to leave some guys off and I mentioned there were a few outfielders who had you told me before I started making the list I would have said were locks would miss, I wouldn’t have believed it…. Waldrop was among that group along with Jonathan Reynoso and Josh Fellhauer. JWC November 1, 2012 Totally agree Doug. Similar production. A year younger. With substantially higher ceiling. It’s not what they are now but what they can become. I’m sure everyone will come back and say I knew he was can’t miss when YRod puts it all together if he does. That’s the fun and the challenge of Prospect Lists though. Pull out the crystal ball. clint October 31, 2012 I’m assuming that Sal Romano didn’t make the cut. What are your thoughts on him Doug? Doug Gray October 31, 2012 I like him. Big groundball numbers. Decent strikeout rate for his age and the level he was out. Walks weren’t on either the good or bad side, but with his age and the level he was at, that is good. But, as with most rookie ball guys, I simply haven’t had a chance to see them play as much as the other guys so I don’t have as much confidence in using mostly numbers and second hand scouting reports. The Duke October 31, 2012 Romano could be a fast riser next year. Just needs to get consistent and keep developing physically.