Cincinnati Reds Arizona Fall League Impressions

On Thursday afternoon the Arizona Fall League ended for the Reds team, the Glendale Desert Dogs after they failed to make the championship game that will be played on Saturday. Today I am going to take a look at each of the participants from the organization. Let’s start with the pitchers. Here are their stats:

Player W L ERA SV IP H HR BB K K/BB AVG
Drew Hayes 2 0 0.82 0 11.0 7 0 7 11 1.6 .184
Michael Lorenzen 0 3 11.42 0 17.1 29 4 12 5 0.4 .382
Chad Rogers 1 0 0.66 0 13.2 10 1 4 12 3.0 .200
Jamie Walczak 2 0 4.11 0 15.1 9 1 10 16 1.6 .180

Drew Hayes

Hayes posted a strong 0.82 ERA in 11 innings with 7 walks and 11 strikeouts while holding opposing hitters to a .184 average. His ERA, strikeouts and opponents average were all very good. What has held Hayes back has been his control issues and his 7 walks in 11 innings didn’t show any improvement in that department. He threw his 4-seam fastball, slider and mixed in a curveball during his time in the AFL (at least in the games where Pitch F/X was running). With control being an issue in the past for Hayes, the lack of improvement in that department leaves his stock unchanged.

Michael Lorenzen

Simply looking at the numbers for Lorenzen, you can’t help but think he would have been better off just working at the Reds complex in Arizona. He walked 12 batters with just 5 strikeouts in 17.1 innings and allowed 29 hits while posting an ERA of 11.42. Despite the ugly numbers, there were a few good things to come from the experience for Lorenzen. He added innings to his arm, which given that he threw less than 50 in his entire college career and the Reds are looking at him as a starter, is very important. He now knows what he will need to work on to have success at the higher levels of the minor leagues. He also had a chance to work on his change up, which he had never thrown much. While the move to starter boosts value, the early returns took that back. At least for now, I would say his stock remains unchanged.

Chad Rogers

After starting all season, Rogers headed to the bullpen in Arizona where he posted a 0.66 ERA in 13.2 innings with 4 walks and 12 strikeouts. Probably showing off the deepest repertoire of all relievers in the league, Rogers worked in a 4-seamer, sinker, cutter, slider and change up during his time in the Arizona Fall League. His fastball picked up a little velocity versus where it was as a starter, sitting 90-93 instead off 88-91. His strikeout rate was higher out of the bullpen than where it has been as a starter. Eligible for the first time for the upcoming Rule 5 draft, Rogers if his spot wasn’t already cemented, likely did so with his performance. His stock probably took a step forward, even if it was a small one.

Jamie Walczak

Walczak spent his time during the regular season as a reliever, but he made three starts in Arizona to go along with five appearances from the bullpen. His Arizona Fall League was bookended by two bad outings that combined for all 7 of his earned runs and all but one of the hits he allowed in his 15.1 innings, as well as 6 of his 10 walks in 2.1 innings. Like Hayes, control was a problem with Walczak in the regular season and his walk rate was rather high, though most of the walks came over two games. The Reds will have a choice to make on him for the Rule 5 Draft soon. His time in Arizona resembled what he did in Double-A, so his stock likely remained the same.

Now let’s take a look at the position players from the Reds who played in Arizona. First, the stats:

Player AB R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
Tucker Barnhart 49 5 3 0 0 2 9 7 0 .245 .356 .306 .662
Travis Mattair 72 7 3 0 2 7 9 16 0 .236 .325 .361 .686
Ryan LaMarre 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 .400 .500 .400 .900
Yorman Rodriguez 85 14 2 0 4 13 7 27 3 .271 .323 .435 .758

Tucker Barnhart

While Barnhart only hit .245, he walked more than he struck out and much like the rest of his career, hit well from the left side (.306). Reports coming out from national guys who were getting their first look at him talked of his good defense. His Arizona Fall League season resembled his 2013 regular season with just a little bit lower average. His stock likely remained the same and is a virtual lock to be added to the 40-man roster in a few weeks.

Travis Mattair

Mattair, much like in the regular season, split his time between first base and third base in Arizona. He struggled to hit for an average in just 72 bats, but he showed solid plate discipline and a little bit of pop. Reports talked of his good defense at the corners. His AFL season resembled much of his regular season, so his stock likely remained the same.

Ryan LaMarre

LaMarre only played in two games before suffering an ab injury that caused him to miss the rest of the season. His tools impressed Kiley McDaniel in the short stint that he was on he field. With hardly any time to actually do much on the field to change his stock.

Yorman Rodriguez

Rodriguez, like LaMarre, impressed Kiley McDaniel with his tools. His 4 home runs were 5th best in the league, just two behind the leader. He hit .271 and walked 7 times, but he struggled to make contact with 27 strikeouts. He showed off solid defense in center and good defense in right field. His time in Arizona resembled much of his regular season, and while he may have raised his stock nationally with exposure to some guys who haven’t seen him in a while, his Reds stock likely remained the same.

About Doug Gray

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