Minor League Game Review – 7/27/14 Doug Gray July 28, 2014 30 Comments Louisville won 5-0, lost 6-4 in a double header. Game 1: 5-0 win. Box Score Ruben Gotay went 1-2 with 2 walks and 2 runs. Felix Perez went 2-4 with a run and an RBI. Neftali Soto went 2-4 with 2 doubles, a run and 2 RBI. Thomas Neal went 1-4 with 2 RBI. Rey Navarro went 2-3 with a double. Mikey O’Brien threw 4 shutout innings with 5 strikeouts. Pedro Villarreal threw 3 shutout innings with 5 strikeouts. Game Notes This game took a month to complete and spanned two days. It was originally scheduled to be played on June 27th in Charlotte but was rained out. With no return trip the game was scheduled to be played in Louisville on Saturday, but it only made it through four innings before the rain suspended play and was picked back up at that point on Sunday afternoon. The pitching was outstanding with Mikey O’Brien and Pedro Villarreal combining for no walks and 10 strikeouts in seven shutout innings with each guy pitching the full day that the game took place on. On Saturday the Bats got things going quickly, as the “away” team despite being in Louisville, they took a 1-0 lead in the top of the first and added three runs in the top of the third inning. Felix Perez and Thomas Neal bookended a Neftali Soto RBI double with RBI singles of their own in the inning to put the Bats up 4-0. Ruben Gotay would score in the fifth on a ground out to add the final run to the scoreboard as they held on for the 5-0 win. Game 2: 6-4 loss. Box Score Jason Bourgeois went 3-3 with a walk and 2 runs. Ruben Gotay went 0-2 with 2 walks. Felix Perez went 2-4 with a double and an RBI. Tucker Barnhart went 2-3. Donnie Murphy went 1-3 with an RBI. Steve Selsky went 1-3 with a run. Juan Silverio went 1-3. Ryan Rowland-Smith threw 1.1 hitless innings with a walk. Adam Russell threw a shutout inning with a strikeout. Game Notes Charlotte scored four runs in the top of the third inning on a grand slam. The Bats began chipping away, scoring single runs in the third and fourth, cutting the Knights lead in half. Charlotte would get both of those runs back in the top of the fifth though with a little help from the Bats defense as an error led to the second unearned run of the day. A sac fly would get the Bats a run in the fifth and in the seventh and final inning Jason Bourgeois would come around to score on a wild pitch. Felix Perez would double to put the tying run at the plate, but it wasn’t meant to be on Star Wars night for the Bats as they fell 6-4. Pensacola lost 6-2. Box Score Travis Mattair went 1-3. Brodie Greene went 1-3 with a run. Ryan Wright went 1-2 with a HR (10) and 2 RBI. Drew Hayes threw 3.2 shutout innings with a strikeout. Game Notes Pensacola ran into problems in the fourth inning when the Braves scored three times and saw them take a 3-0 lead. The Blue Wahoos offense had been no hit through 5.1 innings by two pitchers before Brodie Greene singled in the sixth. Ryan Wright followed that with a 2-run homer to put Pensacola within striking distance, down just 3-2. The score stayed there until the eighth when Mississippi put up three more runs to put the game away, taking a 6-2 lead. Bakersfield won 6-3. Box Score Beau Amaral went 0-2 with 2 walks and a steal (22). Sean Buckley went 1-4 with a solo HR (9). Marquez Smith went 1-3 with a walk, solo HR (19) and 2 RBI. Harold Riggins went 1-3 with a walk, HR (9), 2 RBI and 2 runs. Sammy Diaz went 1-4 with a double and a run. David Vidal went 1-4 with 2 RBI. Drew Cisco allowed a run in 5 innings with 2 walks and 3 strikeouts. Kyle McMyne threw 2 shutout innings with a walk. Jacob Johnson threw a perfect inning with a strikeout. Game Notes No Blaze player had more than one hit, but they made their five hits count. Sean Buckley continued his assault on California League pitchers with a solo home run in the second inning to get things started for Bakersfield. Marquez Smith didn’t want to be left out so he made it back-to-back home runs with his 19th of the season. Lake Elsinore would get a run back in the bottom of the second and the score would stay 2-1 with the Blaze on top until the seventh inning. Bakersfield rallied for two runs as Harold Riggins walked, Sammy Diaz doubled and both came around to score on a David Vidal single that extended their lead to 4-1. The Storm would put the pressure on in the eighth as they plated two runs to make it a one run lead for the visiting Blaze, but Harold Riggins took the pressure right back off as he smacked a 2-run homer to put the game out of reach. Jacob Johnson came on to close the game out in quick fashion, needing just seven pitches. Dayton lost 4-1. Box Score Joe Hudson went 1-4 with a double and a run. Avain Rachal went 1-3 with an RBI. Nick Benedetto went 1-3. Amir Garrett allowed 2 runs in 6.1 innings with 10 strikeouts. Pedro Diaz was charged with 2 unearned runs in 1.2 innings with 2 strikeouts. Zack Weiss threw a perfect inning of relief. Game Notes A pitchers duel broke out in Dayton between two left handers as Amir Garrett and Stephen Gonsalves faced off Sunday afternoon. Both guys took shutouts into the sixth inning. Garrett ran into trouble in the sixth, giving up two homers, but finished out the inning and got an out in the seventh before reaching his pitch count and exiting. He put together another very strong start with a career high 10 strikeouts. Cedar Rapids would add two more in the seventh to take a 4-0 lead. The Dragons would get a run back in the bottom of the seventh, but that was all that they would be able to get on the day as they fell 4-1. Zack Weiss threw a perfect ninth inning, lowering his ERA to 1.87 on the season. Billings won 6-4. Box Score Ty Washington went 1-4 with a double, RBI, run and a steal of home (15). Cory Thompson went 1-4 with an RBI, steal and a run. Aristides Aquino went 1-4 with a double, steal and a run. Garrett Boulware went 2-4 with a double and 3 RBI. Argenis Aldazoro went 2-2 with a walk, 2 steals and 2 runs. Jacob Moody threw a shutout inning with a walk and a strikeout. Brian Hunter threw 1.1 shutout innings with a walk and a strikeout. Brennan Bernardino threw 1.2 perfect innings with 2 strikeouts. Game Notes The Mustangs did all of their scoring early, scoring single runs in the second and fourth innings with a four run inning in the third. The four run third inning included a double steal by Ty Washington and Cory Thompson that saw Washington take home and score. Garrett Boulware capped off the inning with a 2-run double. Great Falls scored three runs in the fourth and added another run in the sixth to cut into the lead, making it a 6-4 game, but the bullpen was strong moving forward and finished things out. Brennan Bernardino threw 1.2 shutout innings, pushing his season total to 16.0 without an earned run. AZL Reds lost 12-2. Box Score Jose Siri went 1-5 with a solo HR (2). Gavin LaValley went 2-4 with a double and an RBI. Juan Martinez threw 4 perfect innings with 6 strikeouts. Game Notes Outside of the third and eighth innings, things didn’t go bad for the Reds…. unfortunately those two innings happened and the Brewers scored five runs in each of them. Jose Siri hit his second home run of the year, going 1-5 in the game. Gavin LaValley was the only Red to reach base more than once (sans reaching on an error, which I didn’t check for), going 2-4 and raising his average to .315 on the season. Juan Martinez threw four perfect innings of relief and was the only Red to not allow multiple runs in the game. 7/28 Game Preview Team 1st half 2nd half Time (EST) Probable Box Score Listen Live Watch Live Louisville 53-57 N/A 7:05pm Holmberg Here Here Here Pensacola 31-39 14-23 8:00pm Moscot Here Here Here Bakersfield 45-25 16-20 10:30pm Peralta Here Here N/A Dayton 36-32 15-20 7:00pm Romano Here Here Here Billings 17-21 1-1 9:05pm Strahan Here Here N/A AZL Reds 12-18 N/A 10:00pm TBA Here N/A N/A 30 Responses MK July 28, 2014 When 6 of the 9 batters in the line-up are hitting .232 or below, they probably are not going to score many runs. Add to that an average of over an error per game. You have to wonder what kind of toll this takes on the Dayton pitchers mentally and their overall development. Amir was tremendous yesterday, but you could tell when he gave up the first home run he started being a little more tentative as though he knew the game was lost. Jonathon Reynoso and Jose Ortiz both started suspensions yesterday for their part in the Wisconsin bench clearer. I know Reynoso’s is three games, I assume Ortiz as well. Along with the fine it seems a little harsh when it was the Wisconsin pitcher who hit Reynoso after the Rosa HR and there were no punchs thrown. Foxbud July 28, 2014 A very similar question could be said at the MLB level. When the only game you win since the break is a 1-0 affair, then you really need to look at what you are doing regarding coaching approach, etc. Injuries are one thing, but any team that cannot consistently collect 7 hits per game has issues well beyond the players. I would expect some accountability changes when this disaster is all over with… Reds, Dayton, even Pensacola. Norwood Nate July 28, 2014 I was getting ready to post a very similar response in regards to the big league squad. But then again when 4 of your starting 8 position players are back ups it is hard to expect much offense, as was the case yesterday. Doug Gray July 28, 2014 I wonder if it’s a league rule where if the benches clear and you get tossed from that incident, you get three games. I was surprised they even got suspended given that no punches were thrown and as far as I saw, no one was even in a shoving match or any kind. It was very tame, so I do wonder if it’s not a league mandate kind of issue. MikeD July 28, 2014 I read a little about Garrett Boulware last night and he seems like an interesting player. Was a catcher at Clemson until they decided to use a younger guy so he went between DH and left field. His bat seemed decent, so it will be interesting to see if he stays catching and can become a prospect? sultan of swaff July 28, 2014 On reds.com they have an ‘updated’ reds top 20 prospect list from jonathon mayo. Jeremy Kivel at 15??? SMB not even on the list??? Seems like Mayo recycled his offseason list. *facepalm* Little Earl July 28, 2014 He had this to say about Garrett. Hope he knows something. With Garrett’s basketball odyssey perhaps over, Cincinnati is excited to see what this big left-hander can do with his focus solely on baseball. The Reds signed Garrett knowing he would split time between college hoops and the Minors. After two years at St. John’s and then a transfer to Cal State-Northridge, it appears Garrett might be turning his sights to the mound full-time. He has always had a big arm, firing fastballs up to 96 mph without much baseball experience. Garrett’s secondary stuff is understandably inconsistent, but both his breaking ball and changeup show signs of being solid weapons. His athleticism should help him with his delivery and to improve his command and control. Cincinnati was excited by Garrett’s potential when the club gave him $1 million to sign in 2011. It looks like the Reds are about to get a true look at what he can become. Foxbud July 28, 2014 I think the new Top 20 list is very telling of where we are as an organization. We are pitching rich and position player poor right now, even after the draft. It makes signing a player like the Cuban OF Castillo almost necessary, though with all the comp, very doubtful. I think you can be sellers and still be going for it in 2015. Move any of Cozart, Ludwick, Pena, Heisey, Simon, Leake, Broxton for middle infield controllable players and young pen arms. I could be overwhelmed to move Chapman as well. Come back next year with Ceuto, Latos, Bailey, Cingrani, and a FA. You should be able to start your prospects mid-year if there is a need. Revamp pen. Do what it takes to sign Castillo and give him LF (worst case) or SS (best case). There is not going to be a more affordable option in Free Agency. Build bench around OBP players. KyWilson1 July 28, 2014 Cozart has about 0 trade value, Ludwick has negative trade value, and Pena/Heisey are bench players with little value if any. Simon-Broxton-Chapman-Phillips-and one of Leake-Cueto-Latos should be who is on the table. The Reds could rob someone on Simon. And Chapman and one of the other 3 starters could net a huge return. Foxbud July 28, 2014 It isn’t all about value. You need to clear out payroll and roster spots for 2015 also. Heisey will make too much for what he is worth. Cozart will have some value if offered. He is a solid SS. On a team that does not have offensive issues, he would have value. Pena also has value as a bench player that can play 1B and C which could net a good relief prospect. Doug Gray July 28, 2014 I’d keep Pena. There’s not a real upgrade right now in the system and he’s pretty cheap. KyWilson1 July 28, 2014 You want to clear payroll, you deal Broxton who is way over paid, and try and deal Phillips. One of the 3 last year arb eligible starters saves as well. Dealing the only decent bench pieces from an already weak bench to save money, not really the best way to build a winner. Doug Gray July 28, 2014 I decided last night that I wasn’t even going to post a link to the list on the site. The list itself is very bad, but even worse, every scouting report is from the offseason except for the new draft picks. Not one has been updated. It’s a real shame that MLB can make a TV show out of it, plaster the list on MLB.com and every single individual official team site, and then put out scouting reports that are 11 months old. There was a lot of talk about it on twitter last night among prospect writers about how bad some of it was because of the really old info and a lot of the organizational rankings. It’s not a good look for MLB from my perspective. They have to do better than that. While I don’t agree with a lot of their rankings, that’s not really my biggest problem. The bad information is the biggest problem for me. When you are MLB, you just can’t have that. MK July 28, 2014 I just don’t think it is in the cards for the MLB Reds to win this season. With the injuries and the lack of production from Cozart, Ludwick, and especially Bruce, it is time to be realistic and become sellers here at the deadline. When I look at who might be attractive to other teams that I would be willing to trade my list is: Simon, Broxton, Shumaker, Ludwick, and Pena. If I was blown away with a deal I would consider Latos, as I think of the starters he has had too heavy a load at a young age and is starting to have more injuries. I also think Simon has reached his innings wall this season. I would love to see them acquire some actual hitting prospects that can hit. boiler July 28, 2014 Agree on the trade, I would listen on everybody except Mes, Hamilition, and Frazier. Norwood Nate July 28, 2014 I agree at this point we may as well sell, but only to retool for next season. With a fully healthy club and a few more parts this club can contend with our pitching. I would absolutely part with all of those guys you mentioned, the salary relief from Broxton, Ludwick, and probably Simon now would be worth it alone. But I would also trade Chapman. Either now or in the offseason. He will fetch the biggest return, prospects/players that may contribute next year and beyond. He will get somewhat expensive, but beyond that the Reds will never use him well enough to make much of a difference. I like what I see out of Jumbo and Contreras out of the pen. Add Iglesias and you have a very talented, affordable, controlled back end of the pen for a while. wanderinredsfan July 28, 2014 Pretty sure Iglesias will get every opportunity possible as a starter. Not sure why everyone wants to trade chapman for unproven talent. At the very least you wait and play out next season til the deadline. Same goes with everyone else, except the FAs to be and perhaps Broxton and Simon. sultan of swaff July 28, 2014 In a sense, a lot of fans think Chapman is ‘unproven’. He was never tried as a starter, yet is being paid like one. Surely we can get league average production from the closer for less money, no? And who’s to say we wouldn’t get a cost controlled proven player for him? After seeing what San Diego received for Street and Oakland for the Shark, I think we’d do OK for ourselves. This much I know, if Walt sits on his hands at the deadline, the ‘GM is asleep’ meme will be set in stone. It would be 2 trade deadlines in a row with a contending team and he didn’t act. I think the current market inefficiency is overvaluing your prospects. This is a seller’s market because so few teams are out of the hunt. We are in a unique position in that we have desireable talent, but due to injuries we aren’t in a position to leverage that talent toward the goal of making the playoffs. I’m a firm believer that we have a unique opportunity to shift the payroll away from the bullpen and away from the veterans. That’s what my head says. My heart says that Bob C. will keep the team intact for better or worse until after the all-star game next year. Doug Gray July 28, 2014 I think Castellini could be keeping Walt from making moves given just how much he wants to win. Realistically at this point, the Reds aren’t close to being a playoff team and even landing Mike Trout isn’t going to change that. It’s time to sell a few assets that can be replaced. Simon and Broxton are the biggest ones to move. Sell high while you can. Doug Gray July 28, 2014 Yeah, I don’t think the Reds would go into full sell mode, because the team in 2015 should be a contender, at least on paper, if you don’t move an elite player (Bruce, Votto, any starter not named Simon, Mesoraco, Hamilton, Frazier). I think the Reds know that. I just hope they also know that moving Simon and Broxton won’t really hurt them for 2015 as long as they use the money saved to bring some sort of actual talent in. Alan Horn July 28, 2014 MK , that is 100% where I am also. We can’t go into next season without more hitting. I have serious doubts as to whether Votto will ever be able to help much going forward. The next 2 months will be telling on Bruce. Phillips is winding down also but I think I am correct in that his contract ends after 2 more years. The new nucleus is Frazier, Mesoraco and Hamilton. We need to add some solid bats to them. JMO July 28, 2014 Absolute garbage that Felix Perez is down in AAA. Call him up, along with Soto and Navarro. Jim Delaney July 28, 2014 Doug- you bring up a good point- Walt’s hands might be tied in both cases. He might have asked Castellini if he could add payroll for help now (Headley, Soriano, Morales, etc) and was turned down but in the same light he mentioned looking at trading Simon, Broxton, Schumaker, etc and was told not to. I think the time to make a move was at the All Star break, the Reds played some good baseball in June and early July, had some good fortune playing the Cubs after there trade with Oakland but the Phillips injury was really big. Phillips is now just a mediocre hitter, but his strong defense and ability to move around in the lineup has been a big loss. Making a move at the All Star break may have kept you above water and kept you a float. You can now see it in the starting pitching, they are now pressing knowing the lack of offense and need to pitch a great game. Also, everytime something bad happens- an error, a bad call, it gets magnified. Still not fully ready to pull the plug but don’t have much faith they can make a run. If they sweep Arizona, acquire a hitter by Thursday and Bruce wakes up and hits 15 to 20 homers over the next 58 games then who knows. Doubt any of this happens but holding out hope. In regards to the future, really getting excited about Amir Garrett, his last couple months have been very impressive. If Garrett commits fully to Reds and walks away from basketball will that impact his overall ranking? MK July 28, 2014 Not a minor league note but Smith is a terrible third base coach. Brad Konerman July 28, 2014 Agreed. Didnt Mark Berry ask to have the year off to recover? Foxbud July 28, 2014 100 percent agree. How many runners is he going to send that don’t have a prayer of making it home. DaveCT July 28, 2014 Junior Arias sighting in Arizona. Tim July 29, 2014 Why not dangle Cueto out there and see how big of a return he could fetch?? He would be the best pitcher on the market. He should be able to get a great package back since he isnt a free agent after this season like Lester. Get multiple parts back to help in 2015 and beyond. Tim July 29, 2014 The Dodgers are begging to make a deal for another ace pitcher. Try to get Joc Pederson and Corey Seager in the deal. Come on Walt get that done! Doug Gray July 29, 2014 Because the Reds have a chance to win in 2015 and Johnny Cueto makes that a lot better of a bet. He isn’t being moved. Now, if this time next year things look the same, they will move him if he isn’t signable.