Cincinnati Reds Top Prospects: SS Blake Trahan Doug Gray January 9, 2017 12 Comments One of the names that jumped out in big league spring training was that of Blake Trahan. He was playing well with the big leaguers despite it being his first full season as a professional. All of the good that was built up in spring training didn’t carry over into April. Blake Trahan was assigned to Advanced-A Daytona to begin the regular season. In the first seven games of the season he went 2-30 (.067) with one walk and five strikeouts. The next week didn’t go much better. In seven games the shortstop went 3-24 (.125) with three walks. While the final eight games of the month were another small improvement, it was still a struggled. In 37 plate appearnaces he went 6-32 (.188) with four walks. April finished with a .128/.198/.186 line in 98 plate appearances with eight walks and 16 strikeouts. May began with an 0-3, two walk game. Everything then turned around for Blake Trahan. He ran off an 11-game hitting streak over the next 11 days. He went 16-43 (.372) with five walks and six strikeouts. His hitting streak came to an end of the 14th, but he ran off a 6-game hit streak the next week, going 9-23 (.391). That streak came to an end on the 22nd. Over the final eight games he went 9-29 (.310) with more walks than strikeouts. After a terrible first month, May was very strong. The Tortugas shortstop hit .327/.403/.442 with 14 walks and 14 strikeouts. The first week of June ran into some weather problems and despite a double header, Blake Trahan only got into four games that week. He went 3-14, but made the hits count with two triples. After a slow start to the second week, the shortstop had two hits in three straight games to end the week. The third week also only included four games due to the All-Star break. Trahan went 4-20 with another triple. He finished strong over the last eight games. He went 12-37 (.324) with a double, home run and three walks. In 103 plate appearances the Louisiana native went .280/.330/.409 with six walks and just 10 strikeouts. July started out well for Blake Trahan. In the first weent he went 7-23 (.304) with six walks. That carried forward for the first game of the second week as he went 3-4, but things then slowed down. From the 9th through 17th he slumped, going 4-28 in that span. Over the next four games he picked up three multi-hit games, but went into a slump the rest of the way. In the final nine games he hit just .206. For the entire month he hit .250/.325/.296 with 12 walks and 14 strikeouts. The slump continued over into August. In the first week he went just 3-25 (.120) without an extra-base hit. Things turned around in the second week. In eight games (two double headers), the shortstop went 10-29 (.345) with five walks, two doubles and two triples. Over the next week things slowed down, going 7-28 (.250) with two doubles and no walks. It was the fourth week of August that was his best of the season. Blake Trahan went 13-23 (.565) with three doubles, a triple and a home run. The final week of the season saw the shortstop go 6-25 (.240) with a double. The last five weeks of the season saw Trahan hit .300/.343/.431 in 143 plate appearances. After a terrible April, Blake Trahan turned things around and hit .290/.351/.395 the rest of the season for Daytona. That rough start lowered his OPS to .686 on the season. He stole 25 bases in 33 attempts and showed good plate discipline throughout the year. Trahan also showed skills in the field, making just 15 errors and posting a .974 fielding percentage in 124 starts at shortstop for the Tortugas. Level PA 2B 3B HR SB BB K AVG OBP SLG DTT 587 21 9 4 25 49 73 .263 .325 .361 For all 2017 Prospect Ranking Scouting Reports – click here (these will come out one per weekday over the offseason). Blake Trahan Scouting Report [private_subscriber] Hitting | Blake Trahan can use the entire field, which helps his hit tool. He also has speed which could help the hit tool play up some. He doesn’t barrel the ball often enough though, which leaves him with a below-average hit tool that may play up a tick to fringe-average because of the speed. Power | There’s not much power to his game and there’s not much to grown into either. Expect 5-10 home runs in the future with a solid number of doubles. Running | He’s got above-average speed that helps with some infield hits and could be good for 15-20 steals in the future. Arm | His arm is accurate and shows slightly above-average strength. It will play well anywhere on the infield. Defense | He shows fringe-average range at shortstop, but when coupled with his arm he’s able to play there without issue. The overall package profiles closer to that of a solid utility player who can play around the infield on any given day (not first base). There’s a chance if he gets the most from his overall game he could be a starter at either second or shortstop, though his power doesn’t profile much for second so the rest of his game would have to max out. There were some strong splits shown in 2016 for Blake Trahan. He hit significantly better at home in Daytona. That’s notable as Daytona is the only stadium in the league that isn’t a Major League spring training home. He OPS’d .770 at home and just .592 on the road. At the same time, he had 31 walks and 34 strikeouts at home, but just 18 and 39 on the road. He also showed enormous splits against right handed and left handed pitching. Against lefties he crushed the ball, posting an .825 OPS. Against right handers he only OPS’s .639 during the year. Both of those are worth keeping an eye on moving forward. Spray Chart To Total % 1B 2B 3B HR AVG SLG IsoP P 25 5.4% 3 0 0 0 .188 .188 .000 C 7 1.5% 2 0 0 0 .286 .286 .000 1B 29 6.3% 3 0 0 0 .107 .107 .000 2B 55 11.9% 4 0 0 0 .074 .074 .000 3B 51 11.0% 9 0 0 0 .180 .180 .000 SS 100 21.6% 10 0 0 0 .100 .100 .000 LF 47 10.1% 22 9 1 4 .766 1.255 .489 CF 60 12.9% 22 1 2 0 .424 .508 .085 RF 90 19.4% 28 11 6 0 .517 .782 .264 [/private_subscriber] 12 Responses Kap January 9, 2017 Hey Doug, if you can think of a major league comparison for Trahan, who would it be? Doug Gray January 9, 2017 I don’t like making comparisons. They mean different things to different people. It’s just a messy road. Michael Green January 9, 2017 Like always, AA is the true test, so we’ll see this year. I really like the plate discipline, solid D, and speed though. He is an under the radar player to like for sure. Bradkon21 January 9, 2017 I like the Reds SS depth. First time in a while we can say that. In a good place for next 10-12 years of rebuild. MLB: Cozart, Peraza AAA: Vincej AA: Daal A+: Trahan A: Alf. Rodriguez Arnold Ziffle January 9, 2017 Vincej is 25 years old. Trahan is 23 years old. Daal is 23 years old. Rodriguez is a waste of $7MM. Daal has dropped off of the radar screen. He is one to watch in spring training. But I would bet that Daal will re-emerge onto DG’s mid-season top-25 prospects list again. Daal could be the Reds SS in 2018, with Peraza going to 2B, and Herrera to CF. Greenfield Red January 9, 2017 Peraza is younger than all but AR on this list. I think AR needs to be successful at the plate wherever he plays this year. At 23 in Low A, there needs to be a path to the majors by 25 or 26 in my opinion. DaveCT January 9, 2017 AZ, Herrera is limited to 2B so CF is a pipe dream. Daal was hurt much of 2016. Trahan will be on schedule at AA for a third year college draftee. Rodriguez has, what, 50 pro ab’s with us? Don’t be so quick to rush to judgment on face value. Arnold Ziffle January 9, 2017 GFR, when the middle infield things shake out over the next year or two, I believe Peraza ends up at 2B. So, SS will be a very key position to fill again. I don’t know if Vincej can repeat his hot AFL stats at AAA. The odds say probably not, but I don’t want to bet against him. Daal only played in 40 games this past year. He hit well before his injury, but he has little to no power, good speed and a good glove. Trahan is good, but may be just another version of Vincej. They both may end up being more of a 2B/3B than a SS. That isn’t a bad thing, it just leaves the SS position a tad thin. I think that is why they gambled big on AlfRod. That gamble is going to come up snake eyes. On AlfRod, if and whenever he gets to AAA, nudge me and wake me up then on him. That was $7MM down the crapper that could have gone to someone on the ML roster. DCT, don’t be limited by your imagination on Herrera. Only a 2B?? We shall see. Besides BHam, who is ML ready at the CF position for the Reds? Greenfield Red January 9, 2017 With all due respect Arnold, you are pushing both Dilson Herrera and Shed Long out of 2B consideration. I don’t think Jose Peraza will play 2B regularly in Cincinnati other than maybe this year because of the ZC/BP debacle. I think he is the SS until he is knocked off the mountain or reaches free agency. I think the long term depth at both positions is questionable. I like Peraza, Herrera, and Long. I have less confidence, long term and at the major league level, in all of the other 2B and SS prospects. There must be 10 of them, maybe a couple will pan out. I’d like to see the Reds use a high draft pick on a middle infielder, although there doesn’t appear to be one at the top of this draft as of now. DaveCT January 9, 2017 I hear you, AZ. I’d guess Peraza goes to CF before Herrera, though, as Dilson is a bat first guy. Not that fast, limited range. Probably matters not a whiffle, AZiffle, where they end up eventually. Redsol January 9, 2017 who thinks any of these will be as good or better than Cozart? I think 2 can – Peraza and Trahan. You can win with a shortstop like Cozart. He was the 8th best shortstop based on WAR last year. Along with a good glove, I think most teams would take this from their shortstop position. In the NL, shortstops don’t need to hit >800 ops to have value. Peraza will be fine at shortstop. The ship will sink or sail based on pitching. We are woefully short on proven pitching. Bill January 9, 2017 Thanks for the great report on Trahan. Having skipped Low A and for this being his first full season of professional ball, I like the results. Next season, likely at AA, will be a really good indicator of how solid of a prospect he is.