Cincinnati Reds Top Prospects: RHP Alejandro Chacin Doug Gray February 6, 2017 19 Comments The 2016 season got out to a strong start for right handed pitcher Alejandro Chacin. In the first week of the season he tossed three shutout appearances for the Pensacola Blue Wahoos. The next week was more of the same, racking up 3.0 shutout innings with four strikeouts. In the last week of April the right hander only pitched twice, but both outings last more than an inning. He tossed 3.1 shutout frames to end the month with 9.1 shutout innings and 14 strikeouts. It wasn’t until May 4th that Alejandro Chacin returned to the mound. He would throw a shutout inning against Biloxi. He returned for a 1-out save against them two days later. The next two outings combined for 3.2 shutout frames as he extended his season to 14.1 shutout frames to start the season. It was the next two outings that were a break in the streak as Chacin allowed a run in each game against Mississippi. He finished out the month with four scoreless games, throwing 4.1 shutout innings. He posted a 1.46 ERA in 12.1 innings. His walk rate was quite high, giving out 10 free passes with 13 strikeouts. June got out to a strong start. In the first three games Alejandro Chacin threw 4.0 shutout innings with a walk and four strikeouts. Much like the previous month, he ran into a two game stretch where he allowed a run in each. Just as in May, Chacin finished the month out with four straight shutout appearances. The walk rate was much better than the previous month for the righty. In June the Venezuelan walked just one batter in 11.2 innings to go along with 12 strikeouts. He also posted a 1.54 ERA. July got out to a solid start, allowing two runs in his first four games that spanned 6.1 innings. That covered the first two weeks, but it was the third week that was saw Alejandro Chacin run into problems. In 3.2 innings he would allow seven hits and two walks, leading to two runs scored against him. The final week of the month didn’t go much better as he allowed two more runs in two outings. July wound up being the worst of his season. In 12.0 innings he posted a 4.50 ERA with five walks and 11 strikeouts. Three straight shutout outings without runs kicked off August. That carried forward over the next two-and-a-half weeks with another 4.2 shutout innings and seven strikeouts. After allowing two runs on the 20th, Alejandro Chacin finished out the remaining two weeks of the year with seven shutout appearances, spanning 6.1 innings with no walks and 13 strikeouts. The final five weeks of the season saw the right hander post a 1.17 ERA in 15.1 innings with just six walks and 25 strikeouts. It was a dominant season for Alejandro Chacin as he served as the Pensacola closer. He would save 30 games for the Blue Wahoos while posting a 1.78 ERA. His walk rate was a little bit higher than you would have liked to see, but he countered that with 75 strikeouts in 60.2 innings pitched. Level ERA IP H HR BB K WHIP AA 1.78 60.2 51 2 26 75 1.27 For all 2017 Prospect Ranking Scouting Reports – click here. Alejandro Chacin Scouting Report [private_subscriber] Fastball | The pitch works in the 88-92 MPH range from a low 3/4 arm slot. The pitch has big time arm-side run to it and also has some sinking action. Change Up | A plus offering with tons of sinking action to it and some fade as well. Breaking Ball | It’s a bit of a slurve, lacking the pure characteristics of either a slider or curveball. It’s a below-average pitch most of the time. Control can be a bit of a struggle every so often for Chacin as he will have problems repeating his mechanics at times. Despite a lack of a big fastball, he generated a high rate of swings-and-misses in 2016 as his deception and movement give hitters plenty of problems. He’s never going to profile as a back-end caliber reliever, but he’s got enough stuff to carve out a big league career as quality 6th or 7th inning reliever if he can keep the walks under control. [/private_subscriber] 19 Responses cinvenfan February 6, 2017 He doesn’t throw 105 nor he is the most spectacular arm out there. But somehow, somewhere Alejandro deserves a chance to prove he belongs. He has just done a great job in the minors and in Venezuela. He reminds me of Seth Maness or Fernando Salas and those 2 certainly provided great value. In a time when the Reds need homegrown talent and the market has gone crazy for relievers, pitchers like Chacin should nor be overlooked. The Duke February 6, 2017 The walks are the biggest issue with Chacin. Deception doesn’t get you quite as far in the show, and the margin for error gets a lot tighter. If he can get the walks down, then he can possibly carve out a nice career in middle relief with the movement he gets on his pitches to go along with a good ground ball rate. Matthew O'Neal February 6, 2017 I think Chacin has earned the chance to show what he can do against professional hitters (which is why he’s a NRI). I think he will likely make it to Cincinnati this season, and if not, a good year will earn him rule 5 protection this off season. I’d be happy if he doesn’t earn time, b/c that likely means the men already on staff are having good, injury free years (one can hope, right?) James K February 6, 2017 Doug, You have already gone through many “top prospects” without yet mentioning Rookie Davis. Should we draw an inference? Doug Gray February 6, 2017 Yes and no. He’s not a top 25 guy. Beyond that, I’m just picking guys at random to write up. sultanofswaff February 6, 2017 Sergio Romo had similar minor league numbers, and like Chacin’s projected ETA, he was a bit late getting to the majors as well. A lot of parallels. Chacin’s walk totals outside of last year have always been very good, so I don’t read much into it……yet. One stat that jumped out was his BABIP vs. hitters older than him was a hundred points better (.352) than younger hitters. Does that suggest his stuff won’t play as well vs. more selective guys? The Duke February 6, 2017 Since 2011,he’s had 1 year where his walk rate was below 3.9 per 9 IP. I don’t know if I would qualify that as very good. Arnold Ziffle February 6, 2017 MLB 2017 draft info and the Reds #2 overall pick selection. https://www.yahoo.com/sports/news/top-mlb-draft-prospect-hunter-greene-is-ridiculously-athletic-202709865.html While I am still on the Vandy pitcher Kyle Wright bandwagon, the more I read about the Hunter Greene kid, I think he will be at the top of the Reds pick list. If the Twins pass on him that is. Is the Desmond Jennings signing still not official? I don’t think there has been an official announcement by the Reds yet. Gregmlb February 6, 2017 I like the prospect of taking this guy at number 2. Think he would immediately be a top 10 prospect in all MLB as soon as he signs. Wes February 6, 2017 I think they were saying w groome last year that a high school pitcher has never gone #1. So there may be a chance he’s available at 2. I’m all for reds to take him! The Duke February 6, 2017 No right handed high school pitcher has gone 1.1 Three left handed high school pitchers have. I hope the Twins go for the safer college pitcher, I would be thrilled getting Hunter Greene at 1.2. Plus plus athlete, has already hit 100 mph, great pitchers frame, good control, good breaking ball, and already has a solid changeup that has projection. I’d love to see a top college hitter emerge, but Greene is no consolation prize. sultanofswaff February 6, 2017 Watched the video. A LOT to clean up mechanically with the bat and on the mound. Was expecting a little more polish, even for a high schooler. By contrast, Bryce Harper looked like a finished product. Doug Gray February 6, 2017 If the comparison to just about anyone is to Bryce Harper, expect it to look bad by comparison. He was a 17-year-old that was obliterating JUCO baseball. Heck, he went to the Arizona Fall League as a 17-year-old and crushed it. People just don’t do that. In what would have been a normal freshman year of college for baseball players he OPS’d .820 in the big leagues. Arnold Ziffle February 6, 2017 I kind of thought that too when I first watched video of him about 3 months ago. But the more I read about him, wow. Some more video, just click on his name at #1 overall. http://www.mymlbdraft.com/MLB-Mock-Draft The curve looks nice, and you can’t teach reaching 100 mph. I figure the Reds coaches can teach him better mechanics if needed. That is why I liked Wright over Greene at first, is that Wright has a smooth motion to his pitches and looks to be the more polished college pitcher as he pounds the zone often. The UF pitcher Feado, he has a low 2/3 arm angle that looks a little odd. Future arm problems maybe. A whole college and high school season ahead of Wright and Greene, so much, much can change though. However, I just don’t see a college hitter emerging in the top-5 of the draft besides maybe Kendall. Not very interested in him at this time. Gregmlb February 6, 2017 Doug, What would you do with Chacin? AA or AAA? He’s getting up there in age and would seem he should be close to hitting GABP. Can’t wait to see Relief Pitchers in you State of The Farm. I’m getting excited about the pitchers that should be coming up soon to help turn around that BP. Doug Gray February 6, 2017 What’s left to show in Double A at this point? He just dominated there. The Duke February 6, 2017 He’s only 23 (24 in June), hardly long in the tooth. If he keeps performing though, he should get a shot in the show. Definitely AAA imo. Arnold Ziffle February 6, 2017 The Reds are holding off on converting any starters to the ML bullpen. At least just yet. Very important for guys like Chacin to keep moving ahead. Starting to see why DG had Hernandez, Herget, Weiss, and Guillon in his post-season top-25 prospects. A couple of them might play important bullpen roles someday. MK February 6, 2017 My wife heard from Alejandro this morning. He is getting to Arizona this weekend to get an early start. Probably have heard of the crazy stuff going on with people with green cards so they want to get in. Doesn’t sound like Venezuela should be an issue.