Cincinnati Reds Minor League Game Review – 5/16/17 Doug Gray May 16, 2017 41 Comments If you aren’t signed up to support the site through Patreon yet, you can do that today and start getting emails each morning with notes and updates from each game (and other perks). Louisville lost 5-2. Box Score Hernan Iribarren went 1-4 with a double. Chad Wallach went 1-4 with a home run (3) and 2 RBI. Phillip Ervin went 1-3 with a walk. Beau Amaral went 2-4. Asher Wojciechowski allowed 2 runs in 6.0 innings with a walk and 5 strikeouts. Alejandro Chacin threw a perfect inning. Pensacola won 5-2. Box Score Alex Blandino went 2-4 with 2 doubles and a run. Josh VanMeter went 1-2 with a double, 3 walks, 2 runs and an RBI. Angelo Gumbs went 1-4 with a walk, double, run and an RBI. Aristides Aquino went 2-5 with a home run (5) and 3 RBI. Joe Hudson went 1-2 with 2 walks. Brian O’Grady went 1-4 with a double. Keury Mella threw 5.0 shutout innings with 3 walks and 4 strikeouts. Ariel Hernandez threw 2.0 perfect innings with 4 strikeouts. Jimmy Herget threw a perfect inning with 2 strikeouts. Daytona won 6-3. Box Score Alfredo Rodriguez went 1-4 with a run. Shed Long went 3-4 with a double and 2 runs. Nick Senzel went 2-4 with a double, home run (3), 2 runs and 4 RBI. Gavin LaValley went 2-4 with a home run (8) and 2 RBI. Jesus Reyes allowed 2 runs in 6.0 innings with 3 walks and 9 strikeouts. Tanner Rainey threw 2.0 hitless innings with a walk and 4 strikeouts. Dayton lost 1-0. Box Score Tyler Stephenson went 0-2 with 2 walks. Hector Vargas went 2-3. Wennington Romero allowed a run in 8.0 innings with 4 strikeouts. 5/17 Game Preview Team 1st half 2nd half Time (EST) Probable Box Score Listen Live Watch Live Louisville 12-26 N/A 6:35pm Bautista Here Here Here Pensacola 21-18 N/A 1:05pm McGuire Here Here Here Daytona 21-18 N/A 7:05pm Boyles Here Here N/A Dayton 26-12 N/A 10:35am Wotell Here Here Here Top 25 Prospects Daily Rundown Rank Player Level Performance 1 Nick Senzel A+ 2-4, 2B, HR, 4 RBI, 2 runs. 2 Jesse Winker AAA 0-4, run, K. 3 Robert Stephenson MLB DNP 4 Amir Garrett AAA DNP 5 Sal Romano DL DNP 6 Taylor Trammell A DNP 7 Aristides Aquino AA 2-5, HR, 3 RBI. 8 Vladimir Gutierrez A+ DNP 9 Luis Castillo AA DNP 10 Tony Santillan A DNP 11 Nick Travieso DL DNP 12 Chris Okey A+ 0-4, K. 13 Tyler Mahle AA DNP 14 Tyler Stephenson A 0-2, 2BB. 15 Phillip Ervin AAA 1-3, BB. 16 Ian Kahaloa Susp DNP 17 Shed Long A+ 3-4, 2B, 2 runs, K. 18 Keury Mella AA 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 3BB, 4K. 19 Austin Brice MLB DNP 20 Jimmy Herget AA 1IP, 0H, 0ER, 0BB, 2K. 21 T.J. Friedl A 1-4. 22 Alfredo Rodriguez A+ 1-4, run. 23 Zack Weiss DL DNP 24 Ariel Hernandez AA 2IP, 0H, 0ER, 0BB, 4K. 25 Michael Beltre A 0-3. 41 Responses Datdudejs May 16, 2017 Hearing from a decently reliable source that Reds have highest offer on table to Robert, and that it’s between them cards, and white sox. Fingers crossed The Duke May 17, 2017 I suppose we’ll see in a little over 3 days. Well, maybe, that’s when he can first sign. It could theoretically be another 4 weeks. June 15 is the last day of the current international period that he will definitely sign before. Brad May 16, 2017 Checked out Yanio Perez’s current line at Low-A Hickory for the Rangers, .354/.430/.600. Really wish Redlegs could have gotten to the $1.1M or more for him. Plays 3B and RF. Imagine adding Perez into Dragons everyday lineup: Friedl, Siri, Trammell, Stephenson, Perez, Bell/Sansone, 1B, Vargas, Beltre. Im all for Reds going in on Luis Robert. Just wished they would have splurged for Perez, Cionel Perez, Norge Ruiz, etc. Blandino will be an interesting case this off-season whether he will be protected for the Rule 5 draft. Seems like a team could claim him, use him as a bench player at SS, 3B and 2B. RP and bench players seem to be the easiest to stash. Blandino not hitting but getting on base at a high level. For me, Mahle and Long are protected. Jose Lopez and Blandino are question marks. Dont see anyone else from drafts, unsure on International, that would warrant conversation. Doug Gray May 17, 2017 Perez is really interesting. He didn’t do much in Cuba, though he was young. But, apparently after he left he started showing things he wasn’t showing in Cuba. Not sure if he took better care of himself once he left, or what, but he got got significantly faster and the power came out of nowhere. Also, if Datdudejs isn’t right, and the Reds don’t get Robert I’m pretty sure he’s going to be banned forever. Paul Nyhart May 17, 2017 I once had a girlfriend who was decently reliable… Simon Cowell May 17, 2017 I like it. Doug showing a darker side. The Duke May 17, 2017 He’s been working really hard Got to give him credit How often does power come out of nowhere? Datdudejs May 17, 2017 Hey I never said that they were for sure going to get him. I just was told they have the best offer. Other teams could increase their offers, ect. But it sounds like the Reds are going all out for him which is a good sign Doug Gray May 17, 2017 Don’t try to back out now, Datdudejs. Lol Datdudejs May 17, 2017 I’m not backing out, my guy isn’t dick Williams or anything but he does work for the Reds and seemed pretty excited. He has given me good info before (about Lamb) But he also said that you never know till they sign on the dotted line with these sort of things so we will see Doug Gray May 17, 2017 I’m just messing with you. Sarcasm doesn’t always play out so well in print/typed word form. icehole3 May 17, 2017 Anyone think Senzel will skip Pensacola? Simon Cowell May 17, 2017 Why? Is he doing anything spectacular that would imply he is able or ready to skip levels? The Duke May 17, 2017 No one. There is no reason to have him in Cincinnati before May 2018, and if teams ever really double jump a guy, it’s from Low A to AA or AA to the bigs. You rarely ever see High A to AAA unless it’s a temporary fill in type of thing. It’s more likely he spends 0 games in AAA this year. Doug Gray May 17, 2017 No. Those kinds of promotions just don’t happen for non-fill-in spots. Kap May 17, 2017 No one in the system is hitting better than Shed Long right now. Very impressed with him so far this season. Think he ends the year at AA The Duke May 17, 2017 I think in the second half of the minor league season we’ll see the core of Daytona move to Pensacola. Senzel, Shed, Vlad, Rainey, Lavalley. In turn we’ll see Vasquez, Bell, Moss, Hendrix, and Sansone move on up to Daytona. MK May 17, 2017 So what five players are getting released and I have never seen five draft picks go straight from draft to Dayton. Even Senzel spent a few weeks in Billings. Who are Daytons five replacements? Doug Gray May 17, 2017 Relievers are the kinds that tend to have the ability to start in full-season ball. Give Yari starts at first, bring in someone else to be the backup. Put Gonzalez at 2B every day and bring in a back up. There’s your five guys. The Duke May 17, 2017 Very nice game from Senzel. His home run came off of Pirates hot shot prospect Mitch Keller as well. The walk rate is a little lower than I expected, but the rest of Senzel’s game is really starting to shine through. Up to an .800 OPS despite the slow start with 14 2B and 3 HR. 5 for 5 on stolen bases too, showing his advanced base running is still playing. The Shed now hitting .312/.367/489 on the year, and is hitting .429 over his last 10 games. Very impressive for the FSL as is his 14 extra base hits (8 2B, 1 3B, 5 HR). The future at 2B may not be Dilson Herrera or Jose Peraza afterall. Still A ball though, but Shed is giving us a lot to be excited about over his last 400 plate appearances or so. Lavalley with an impressive 8 HR in 145 at bats so far, the power is really starting to show. A .214 Iso-Power in the FSL is definitely impressive. He needs to hit for a little more average and walk a little more, but his K percentage isn’t that bad at all really, right around 18%. A rare walk from Rainey, his 3rd on the year against his 36 K’s. He’s still sporting a 0.34 WHIP and .060 batting average against. I’m going with the mass promotion theory after the minor league all star games, but at this rate, Rainey may force their hand before then. Outside of a couple home runs given up, he really isn’t being challenged at this level, and at 24 years old already he’s a little old for A ball. Tough luck loss for Romero. He gets through his 8 IP for a complete game in only 87 pitches (60 strikes) only allowing 4 base runners the entire game, and one solo HR gives him the L. I would like to see him when his control is on. In his last 3 appearances spanning 5 IP Ariel Hernandez hasn’t allowed a walk. The 4 before that he had 7 walks in 6 IP. If he can just harness that control a little bit more consistently, we might be seeing a future closer. Herget has been similarly dominating over his last 4 apperances. 5 IP, 1 H, 1 BB, 0 R, 9 K. He’s been just as good in AA as he was last year in High A which bodes very well for the future of the bullpen. Not being on the 40 man roster is maybe the only reason we wouldn’t see him in Cincinnati this year. HavaKlu May 17, 2017 Isn’t it time the Reds gave Lavalley some OF time—he’s going to be blocked by Senzel and Votto otherwise. Also, if Rainey moves up to AA that should mean herget goes to AAA. The Duke May 17, 2017 Lavalley is slllllooooooowwwwww. 30 runner. Probably doesn’t work in the OF, but he could have a future as a Red as a 1B/3B backup and power bat off the bench. Travis May 17, 2017 Hey Duke I Agree! Hernandez could really be a great closer… his movement makes it hard to catch him… with Mesoraco behind the plate he had waaay less walks … ( just an observation) …. a seasoned catcher knows with a pitcher with crazy movement u must catch the ball before it tails out of the zone… why do you think he has soo many pitches that look like strikes that are called balls ???? Mark May 17, 2017 AQUINO is starting to get a little hot I have noticed in the game reports he is starting to do more, more hr and rbi’s. I think SHED will be the 2nd basemen of the future sometime in 2018 if he keeps this up. Doug Gray May 17, 2017 Aquino is slugging more. But he’s still got two walks and 19 strikeouts in less than 50 plate appearances this year. His strikeout rate is astronomical in May. Kindell May 17, 2017 Tyler Stephenson is creeping up on a .400 OBP. What a difference it makes actually getting healthy. I really am pulling for this kid to stay healthyand he has the potential to shoot up rankings if he can. The Duke May 17, 2017 In the two games I saw him behind the plate, I was impressed with how quiet he is in the crouch. He sets up low and holds a good target. It looked natural for him. Despite his size, I think he sticks at C, maybe even above average defensively. His arm is pretty good too, both in accuracy and strength. sultanofswaff May 17, 2017 Very impressive what Romero is doing as a 19 year old. Encouraging to see Robert Stephenson settling in as a major leaguer. Looks like the nerves are largely a thing of the past. The next step is to start a game. I think he’ll approach it more even keeled this time around. Put me on record as saying by August he will be entrenched in the rotation. Chris May 17, 2017 Someone mentioned Lamb before.. I sae that he’s been suspended due to rec drug use.. I guess the trade to rays looks smart now.. Jim Nasium May 17, 2017 What trade? What player did the Reds get in return? Lamb was DFA’d and TB picked him up off of waivers. Doug Gray May 17, 2017 Lamb was “traded for cash” before he got through waivers. MK May 17, 2017 maybe he was using it as a way to recover from injury, Suspension might be worth it if he can get healthy. It worked for Edinson Volquez and helped to resurrect his career. Simon Cowell May 17, 2017 Robert Stevenson can’t locate his off speed offerings. Basically the only thing he can throw over the plate and know where it is going is his fastball. Not sure a 7.00 ERA is to be considered settling in or not. The Reds should simulate Stephenson in a game and have him throw noting but offspeed stuff. His curve ball is especially atrocius. He has no clue where it is going to wind up. The Duke May 17, 2017 I think it’s just the opposite. He throws his offspeed stuff ok, but can’t locate his fastball. His fastball has a good amount of movement on it, and when he tried to paint a corner it tends to drift back towards the middle of the plate and get hammered or waft outside for a ball. Teams then sit on his fastball and just wait for the mistake pitch. It’s no mistake all the K’s he’s getting, it’s just the walks and big hits are killing him. Honestly, he should do what Amir Garrett said he is doing and just try to throw everything down the middle and let his stuff play as is. Doug Gray May 17, 2017 And yet it’s his fastball that’s getting obliterated, while his curveball and splitter are both above-average when it comes to results this season. Travis May 17, 2017 Have the Reds forgotten about Ariel Hernandez???? Looks like they could use the help in the Bullpen….. weird how he only got one game up pitched amazing and hasn’t returned since… do the reds not see him as a serious asset to the team? this man has been on Fire!!! Last night was amazing stuff!!! Doug Gray May 17, 2017 I’m as big of a fan of Ariel Hernandez as there is. But he’s walked 11 batters in 19.2 innings in Double-A this year. Stuff has never, even been the question. It’s about him throwing strikes with any kind of consistency. When he does, no one is touching him. But, he’s been very inconsistent with that whole throwing strikes thing. The Reds are doing the right thing by keeping him down right now. Let him develop more consistency in lesser situations in the minor leagues. Brad May 17, 2017 Any reason Nefi Ogando has not been transferred to the 60-day DL? Today is day 45 by my count. Cingrani on day 29. Doug Gray May 17, 2017 He’s on rehab right now, so I guess they expect him to be ready to pitch before 60 days are up. JB May 18, 2017 Your Luis Castillo link is going to the old Marlins 2Ber. Here’s our guy: http://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=castil013lui Travis May 18, 2017 Give Castillo a chance in the Bigs….. Reds Starting pitchers haven’t been giving them a chance to even compete … who do you think gets the next call up?