Cincinnati Reds Minor League Game Review – 7/9/17 Doug Gray July 10, 2017 28 Comments If you aren’t signed up to support the site through Patreon yet, you can do that today and start getting emails each morning with notes and updates from each game (and other perks). Louisville won 5-4. Box Score Hernan Iribarren went 2-5 with a double and 2 runs scored. Sebastian Elizalde went 2-5 with a run and 2 RBI. Brandon Dixon went 3-5 with a double and a run scored. Darnell Sweeney went 1-4 with a walk and an RBI. Phillip Ervin went 2-5 with an RBI. Eric Jagielo went 0-1 with 2 walks, a HBP and a run. Adrian Nieto went 1-4 with a double and an RBI. Amir Garrett allowed 2 runs in 6.2 innings with 2 walks and 4 strikeouts. Pensacola lost 5-1. Box Score Josh VanMeter went 1-3 with a walk and a steal. Gabriel Guerrero went 1-4 with a double. Nick Longhi went 1-3 with a run and a walk. Shed Long went 1-4 with a triple and an RBI. Deck McGuire allowed 2 runs in 6.0 innings with a walk and 3 strikeouts. Daytona lost 7-3. Box Score Luis Gonzalez went 2-4 with a double and 2 runs scored. James Vasquez went 2-4 with a double and an RBI. Reydel Medina went 1-4 with a run scored. Blake Butler went 1-3 with a steal. Ryan Hendrix threw a shutout inning with a strikeout. Dayton lost 13-5. Box Score Taylor Trammell went 2-5 with a run scored. Jose Siri went 1-4 with a solo home run (13). Bruce Yari went 2-4 with a run and an RBI. Tyler Stephenson went 1-3 with a run. John Sansone went 1-3 with a home run (9) and 3 RBI. Cassidy Brown went 1-4 with a double. Shane Mardirosian went 2-3 with a double and a walk. He also allowed a run in an inning with a strikeout on the mound. Kevin Franklin went 1-1 as a pinch hitter. Aaron Fossas threw a shutout inning with a walk and a strikeout. Billings won 19-2. Box Score Jeter Downs went 2-4 with a walk and 2 runs. Miles Gordon went 3-5 with a double, walk and 3 runs scored. Stuart Fairchild went 2-3 with an RBI and 3 runs scored. Montrell Marshall went 1-5 with a walk, double, 2 runs and an RBI. Alejo Lopez went 1-2 with a walk and a run. Leandro Santana went 3-6 with a triple, home run (6), 3 runs and 7 RBI. Andy Sugilio went 4-6 with 2 runs and 3 RBI. Pabel Manzanero went 2-6 with a double and 2 RBI. Jake Turnbull went 2-3 with a run and an RBI. J.D. Salmon-Williams went 1-2 with a run. Zeke White went 1-1 with a walk, double, run and an RBI. Mac Sceroler allowed a run in 4.0 innings with a walk and 3 strikeouts. Moises Nova threw a shutout inning with a walk. Aaron Quillen threw 2.0 shutout innings with a strikeout. Tyler Buffett threw 2.0 shutout innings. AZL Reds lost 9-0. Box Score Renial Ozuna went 1-3. Jose Castillo was charged with an unearned run in 4.0 innings with a walk and 3 strikeouts. Alexis Diaz threw a hitless inning with a walk and 2 strikeouts. Junior Harding threw 1.1 perfect innings with 3 strikeouts. 7/10 Game Preview Team 1st half 2nd half Time (EST) Probable Box Score Listen Live Watch Live Louisville 35-54 N/A OFF OFF Here Here Here Pensacola 40-30 8-9 7:35pm Davis Here Here Here Daytona 33-32 2-15 7:05pm Strahan Here Here N/A Dayton 41-29 6-12 7:00pm Moss Here Here Here Billings 13-8 N/A 9:00pm De Jesus Here Here N/A AZL Reds 4-9 N/A 10:00pm TBA Here N/A N/A Top 25 Prospects Daily Rundown Rank Player Level Performance 1 Nick Senzel AA 1-4, RBI. Futures. 2 Jesse Winker MLB 0-1. Pinch hitter. 3 Robert Stephenson AAA DNP 4 Amir Garrett AAA 6.2IP, 6H, 2ER, 2BB, 4K. 5 Sal Romano AAA DNP 6 Taylor Trammell A 2-5 with a run. 7 Aristides Aquino AA 0-4, 2K. 8 Vladimir Gutierrez A+ DNP 9 Luis Castillo MLB DNP 10 Tony Santillan A DNP 11 Nick Travieso DL DNP 12 Chris Okey A+ 0-4, 4K. 13 Tyler Mahle AAA DNP 14 Tyler Stephenson A 1-3, run. 15 Phillip Ervin AAA 2-5, RBI, K. 16 Ian Kahaloa Susp DNP 17 Shed Long AA 1-4, 3B, RBI, K. 18 Keury Mella AA DNP 19 Austin Brice AAA 0.1IP, 0H, 0ER, 0BB, 0K. 20 Jimmy Herget AAA 1.0 perfect inning- Futures. 21 T.J. Friedl A+ 0-4. 22 Alfredo Rodriguez A+ 0-4. 23 Zack Weiss AA DNP 24 Ariel Hernandez MLB DNP 25 Michael Beltre A 0-4. Draft Jeter Downs BIL 2-4, BB, 2 runs. Draft Stuart Fairchild BIL 2-3, RBI, 3 runs. 28 Responses Kap July 10, 2017 Hey Doug, interesting team there in Billings. Is the pitching that bad there or are the hitters for Billings that good? Or is it just natural for the Pioneer League to be a hitters type of League? If it’s option B, then the Reds have some stud hitters in that league. On a different note, Ryan Hendrix is dealing in Daytona (for a reliever anyways). Has yet surrendered a run there dbfromnva July 10, 2017 Cassidy Brown hit .322 at Billings last year and is hitting .164 at Dayton this year. Not the first time we have seen this. Don’t get overly excited about college hitters doing great at Billings but be concerned about college hitters who don’t excel there. Doug Gray July 10, 2017 The Pioneer League is insanely hitter friendly. Some of the ballparks in the league are a joke. Billings just played in a park where it’s literally 279 feet down the right field line. With that said, where the Mustangs play their home games is considered the most pitcher friendly park in the entire league. The old adage, generally is this: If a guy hits in Billings, good, he’s supposed to. If he doesn’t, be concerned. That doesn’t always hold true, but I’d bet that in almost always does. Tampa Red July 10, 2017 Thinking about the 40 man roster squeeze coming the Reds way. Here are just some of the guys that will need to be added or exposed after the season, if I understand the rules correctly: Weiss Mahle Blandino Vincej Dixon Long Jagielo Longhi LaValley Others who will be eligible but most likely won’t need to be protected, including some very high draft picks: Howard Strahan Antone Sparks Varner Crawford Franklin There is definitely some filler on Reds 40-man but there is going to be a crunch this off-season for sure. Tampa Red July 10, 2017 Plus they will still need to make room for DeSclafini, Finnegan and Travieso. Good luck with all of that! MK July 10, 2017 As I understand the rules a player has to be in the system 6 years before being added to the 40-man is necessary. There are some age issues in play for some of the young linter national signings. Just off the top of my head I do not believe Shed or Gavin have been around six and there could be a couple of more on your list. I could be wrong but it is how I have always interpreted it. Tampa Red July 10, 2017 I googled it cause I wasn’t sure. From MLB, it’s five years if signed/drafted at 18 or under and four years if 19 or over. At least, that’s how I read it. That put LaValley in play, and I think Long as well. Doug Gray July 10, 2017 Correct, Tampa Red. There’s a slight variation in the age thing (literally a matter of weeks beyond the draft day), but yeah, that’s why LaValley has to be added this offseason while other high schoolers from the same class don’t – he was 19 when he was drafted. Bryce July 10, 2017 All of the guys you said at the top seem to be locks to be on 40 man next year you’d think. All in AAA or with the big club, interesting to see how it plays out jim T July 10, 2017 It was mentioned during the telecast yesterday that Disco was getting close to gong out on a rehab assignment. Would like to see us come out of the break with Castillio Bailey Feldman Romano Stephenson ( if he can get over his blister issue) I would move Aldeman to the pen. In AAA Malhe Garrett Reed Stephens as next man up. In the pen: Adlemen Iggy Lorenzen Cingrani Hernandez Peralta Wood Storen Brad July 10, 2017 Like the thought. Do not see any reason to remove Adleman from the rotation yet. Hope the Reds can balance trying to compete through July and August with managing service time. Jim t July 10, 2017 Not enough up side to keep giving him starts Steve July 10, 2017 Adleman already announced as the starter in the first game of the second half against the Nats. jim T July 10, 2017 My line up would be 1. Suarez 2. Cozart (Until traded) 3. Votto 4 Duvall 5 Scheibler 6. Gennett (Peraza either changes his approach or becomes the utility man) 7. Mez/Barnhardt 8.Hamilton 9. Pitcher. Greenfield Red July 10, 2017 agree on Peraza. Gennett needs to play every day. jim T July 10, 2017 Final thoughts I do not trade Iggy unless I am completely blown away by a offer. In the long run if we do not resign Cozart and I do not think we will. Suarez moves back to SS with Senzel eventually taking over at 3rd. Peraza/Gennett/Herrera battling it out for 2nd. The two who don’t start are bench pieces. Winker defense and lack of power at this point make it impossible to sit Hamilton and play Scott in CF. I can not sit down two guys who are on pace to hit 40 dingers. They are run producers. Duvall is in his second year of production and Scott S is nearly the one year point. I do not reduce their playing time. It is essential we continue to let them grow. Winker needs to show some power or wait his turn. He is a corner outfielder. Hamilton while I agree with many is not a leadoff hitter batting him 8th with his defense and base running is doable. MK July 10, 2017 Guess I see a drawback from hitting Hamilton in front of the pitcher, I would probably rather see him ninth. Hitting in front of pitcher if he would get thrown out stealing for third out you are leading off next inning with pitcher. If steal is successfull you have to depend on pitcher to drive him in making his Speed irrelevant. In addition for the most part the pitchers most significant offensive weapon is the sacrifice bunt which is unnessesary with Hamilton on base as there is no reason to give up an out. mark l July 10, 2017 this. jim T July 10, 2017 I considered this but I really don’t want the pitcher hitting behind Mez in my line up. I also thought that the opposing pitcher would not be paying Billy a lot of attention with pitcher up. Arnold Ziffle July 10, 2017 Kudos Doug for all your draft coverage. Your math was spot on. On Friday when I went to the mountains, Greene’s signing hadn’t been completed and I blasted the front office for an epic failure if it didn’t get done. Today they deserve high praise for getting it done. Sounds like they all cut it too close for comfort for all involved. Your math was on. When I saw the $7.23M figure the first thing that entered my mind was that was Doug’s final available $$ figure. That also signaled that the Reds were not in any way going into the penalty phase to pay MLB more money. They paid plenty in the IFA penalties to MLB. Seems like they were prepared to let Greene walk without signing if he didn’t agree to their final figure. Eight seconds to go, or was that just hyperbole? I don’t know if that hard stance was the right call, but it got done nonetheless. After Greene’s selection, I knew there would be much drama involved, but certainly not right down to the wire drama. Great work by everyone. Everything is on paper now. Now lets see the performance part of it. William Kubas July 10, 2017 Former Stanford Cardinal, Alex Blandino has had his on base percentage fall to .366 I saw a inning and half of the MLB Futures game from the bottom of the 1st….Senzel was important to the USA gaining the first run. MK July 10, 2017 Have the Reds given up on Jake Turnbull as a catcher? On the Web site roster he is listed as an infielder and there are three other catchers listed. DaveCT July 10, 2017 Wonder if he is hurt. Thinking throwing arm since they’ve plugged him in at 1B Brad July 10, 2017 In spring training, I only saw him play 1B Doug Gray July 10, 2017 I don’t think that they have. I asked about it during the spring because he was spending time at first. The said they were going to try and get him time at first and catcher. Corky Miller is here in Pensacola so I will try to remember to ask him. Shamrock July 10, 2017 Unfortunately, if he’s not a catcher then he is never going to make it to the show. Doug Gray July 10, 2017 You do know that he’s 19, right? MK July 10, 2017 Interesting there are nine players in the Daytona(5)/Lakeland(4) Boxscore who played against each for Dayton and West Michigan in the first half.