Cincinnati Reds Minor League Game Review – 8/7/16 Doug Gray August 8, 2017 56 Comments If you aren’t signed up to support the site through Patreon yet, you can do that today and start getting emails each morning with notes and updates from each game (and other perks). Louisville won 5-2. Box Score Darnell Sweeney went 2-5 with a double, triple and an RBI. Phillip Ervin went 1-4 with a walk and an RBI. Adam Brett Walker went 2-5 with a solo home run (1). Scott Van Slyke went 1-3 with a walk and a solo home run (1). Alex Blandino went 2-4 with a solo home run (9). Chad Wallach went 1-4 with a steal and 2 runs. Amir Garrett threw 2.0 shutout innings. (removed after a rain delay) Barrett Astin allowed a run in 2.0 innings with a walk. Kyle McMyne allowed a run in 3.0 innings with 2 walks. Ariel Hernandez threw a hitless inning. Jimmy Herget threw a hitless inning with a strikeout. Pensacola was postponed. Double header Tuesday afternoon. Daytona won 11-5. Box Score Alfredo Rodriguez went 1-3 with a walk, HBP and 2 runs. TJ Friedl went 2-5 with 2 runs. Luis Gonzalez went 2-4 with 2 runs and 2 RBI. Reydel Medina went 2-3 with a double, 2 HBP, 2 runs and 2 RBI. Daniel Sweet went 1-3 with a walk, home run (2), steal (22) and 2 RBI. James Vasquez went 2-4 with a double, home run (6) and 5 RBI. Brantley Bell went 1-4 with a walk. Blake Butler went 2-4 with a run. Jake Paulson threw 2.2 shutout innings with 2 strikeouts. Ryan Hendrix threw a shutout inning. Dayton won 3-2. Box Score Randy Ventura went 2-5 with 2 steals and a run. Jose Siri went 2-3 with a walk, 2 steals (32), double, run and an RBI. Taylor Trammell went 1-3 with a solo home run (9). Bruce Yari went 1-2 with 2 walks, a steal and an RBI. Carlos Rivero went 1-3 with a double, steal and a walk. Matt Blandino allowed 1 earned in 6.0 innings. Moises Nova threw 2.2 shutout innings with 5 strikeouts. Billings lost 6-2. Box Score Stuart Fairchild went 1-3 with 2 walks, a steal (10) and an RBI. Leandro Santana went 2-4 with a run. Mark Kolozsvary went 1-4 with a double and an RBI. Alejo Lopez went 1-1 with a walk and a run. Packy Naughton allowed 2 runs in 5.0 innings with a walk and 4 strikeouts. AZL Reds lost 8-7. Box Score Cash Case went 1-4 with a home run (2) and 2 RBI. Justin Bellinger went 1-4 with a run. Reshard Munroe went 1-4 with a run. Mariel Bautista went 2-4 with a run and an RBI. Reniel Ozuna went 1-3 with a walk, run and an RBI. Victor Ruiz went 1-4 with a triple, run and an RBI. Alexander Perez allowed a run in 2.0 innings with a walk and a strikeout. Isaac Anetsy threw a hitless inning with a walk. John Ghyzel threw a shutout inning with a strikeout. 8/8 Game Preview Team 1st half 2nd half Time (EST) Probable Box Score Listen Live Watch Live Louisville 45-68 N/A 7:05pm TBA Here Here Here Pensacola 40-30 20-23 5:00pm Lopez/TBA Here Here Here Daytona 33-32 10-33 7:05pm Webb Here Here N/A Dayton 41-29 14-30 7:00pm Webb Here Here Here Billings 18-19 3-3 9:05pm Alecis Here Here N/A AZL Reds 15-19 N/A 10:00pm TBA Here N/A N/A Top 25 Prospects Daily Rundown Rank Player Level Performance 1 Nick Senzel AA DNP 2 Luis Castillo MLB DNP 3 Hunter Greene BIL DNP 4 Sal Romano MLB DNP 5 Jesse Winker MLB 0-3, K. 6 Vladimir Gutierrez A+ 5.1IP, 8H, 5ER, 1BB, 3K. 7 Tyler Mahle AAA DNP 8 Taylor Trammell A 1-3, BB, HR. 9 Tyler Stephenson DL DNP 10 Tony Santillan A DNP 11 Shed Long AA DNP 12 Jeter Downs BIL 0-5, 3K. 13 Stuart Fairchild BIL 1-3, 2BB, RBI, a steal, 2K. 14 Jose Siri A 2-3, BB, 2B, RBI, 2 steals, run. 15 Aristides Aquino AA DNP 16 Jose Garcia DSL DNP 17 T.J. Friedl A+ 2-5, 2 runs. 18 Gavin LaValley AA DNP 19 Jimmy Herget AAA 1IP, 1H, 0ER, 0BB, 1K. 20 Zack Weiss AA DNP 21 Ariel Hernandez AAA 1IP, 1H, 0ER, 0BB, 0K. 22 Jackson Stephens AAA DNP 23 Phillip Ervin AAA 1-4, BB, RBI, K. 24 Alfredo Rodriguez A+ 1-3, BB, HBP, 2 runs. 25 Alex Blandino AAA 2-4, HR. 56 Responses William Kubas August 8, 2017 Former Stanford Cardinal, Alex Blandino raises his on base percentage to .386 with his 29th and 30th hits in 111 at bats including his 3rd RBI producing his 14th RBI since joining the Louisville Bats. GO STANFORD CARDINAL BASEBALL Greenfield Red August 8, 2017 You forgot to mention his HR! William Kubas August 8, 2017 Former Stanford Cardinal, Alex Blandino raises his on base percentage to .386 with his 29th and 30th hits in 111 at bats including his 3rd Home run producing his 14th RBI since joining the Louisville Bats. GO STANFORD CARDINAL BASEBALL Dave Wietlisbach August 8, 2017 Where is the guy telling us about blandino’s OBP? Dave Wietlisbach August 8, 2017 Never mind…he posted as I was reading The Duke August 8, 2017 That’s former Stanford Cardinal Alex Blandino. Show some respect. MK August 8, 2017 Once a Cardinal always a Cardinal. Dave Wietlisbach August 8, 2017 Ahhh my bad. You are right. Bill August 8, 2017 Any thoughts on Darnell Sweeney’s ability to fill a utility role at the Major League level? His performance at Louisville is his best at the AAA level. However, the Dodgers and Phillies have both given up on him, so that causes me to question the underlying tools. Doug Gray August 8, 2017 They didn’t give up on him, they traded him. There’s a big difference between the two. I still haven’t had a chance to see him play in person. I was hoping to on Sunday, but the rain kept me in Cincinnati and the Bats, ultimately, off of the field. The numbers seem to suggest he’s got a chance to be a possibly 4th/5th outfielder, but I’d like to see him in person before saying too much more than that. Mister Redpants August 8, 2017 Any chance we can package either Schebler or Duvall and a SP prospect or two for a middle of the rotation guy this winter? The Duke August 8, 2017 Probably not. Corner OF have very little trade value right now it seems. Greenfield Red August 8, 2017 Not only do they have little trade value, but has anyone noticed how valuable Duvall is to the Reds. Fastest player in Reds history to have 135 extra base hits (by 11 games). He also plays really good defense. I don’t like all the strikeouts, and I wouldn’t want 8 hitters in the lineup that strikeout that much. However, it you put him in the middle of several really good contact hitters (Votto, Suarez, Winker, and soon Senzel), he could be a major force. Mister Redpants August 8, 2017 I’m not worried about our offense next year, we just need a reliable SP and to make room for WInker. Its going to be hard for some teams to get through our lineup in the future. Votto, Winker, and Senzel are OBP machines. Greenfield Red August 8, 2017 Don’t sleep on Suarez. While his strikeout rate remains to high, his walk rate is way up this year. It’s noticeable when you watch him hit that he’s more selective this year. Wes August 8, 2017 Still not convinced on Suarez. Wish we could sell him high but he seems to not have much trade value either. I’d like to see him play ss rest of season. If his d is solid at short then his value goes way up. We need 5 middle of the rotation type pitchers. The only guy who has a spot sealed is the worse starting pitcher in baseball right now. Our best bet is player development because we have the prospects. What I hope to see is a ton of losses to finish the season. We lucked out getting 2nd pick last year and need some of that luck again. Be nice to add the best college starting pitcher to the fold next year. That’s the middle rotation guy we need to add. This rebuild is still going to take a while. To help deal with it- I’m going BD/AW (before Dick/after Walt). Hopefully the after Walt rebuild takes shape, builds momentum, and finds some direction this offseason. Been a tough season. MK August 8, 2017 Don’t know how we know what Suarez’s trade value is now. Doug Gray August 8, 2017 Where are you getting the idea that Suarez doesn’t have trade value? I’d guess his value is actually rather good right now. Team control, young, improving in the areas you want someone to be showing improvement in. Bubba Woo August 8, 2017 Don’t know why you’d trade him, but Suarez has plenty of trade value. He has a WAR near 3 which is in the top 30 in the NL. Probably going to hit 25 HRs by the end of year and has played Gold Glove caliber defense. Yes, Senzel’s coming up and looks promising, but last I looked, the Reds don’t have a ML quality SS for next year, and Scooter Gennett is the only ML ready 2b (and I think over the long term he’s a better player than Gennett with more controllable years). Kindell August 8, 2017 I would love to keep Suarez, I just wonder what the plan is going to be for Senzel. Suarez has really improved at third, but I think it’s unrealistic to think he can handle SS defensively. At some point, they are going to have to figure out if they want to move him or Senzel. I agree with other replies that he should have plenty of trade value. The only black eye on his resume that people might point to is that he has been a completely different hitter away from GABP. He is putting up All Star numbers at home, but the opposite when he is away from home. Wes August 8, 2017 Sorry guys I’m just now getting back. Been out of cell range all day. I gauge my value on actual trades and rumors of trades from MLB, baseball America, and to a much lesser extent espn. There are always teams like twins, rays, and brewers looking to acquire controlable talent yet none of them were linked to reds. When trades happened for guys that match our guys position- the returns were not very impressive. When MLB would post lists of like 40 trade targets- cozart was the only one listed from reds. Never Duvall ilgasis lorenzen or Suarez or any other red. So what i speculate from that is what reds want for one of those guys- the rest of the league balks at- meaning their value is lower than what we hoped and teams opt for cheaper options. Also in my initial post I said I think Suarez should be starting at short every game for rest of season and his production would look much better as a ss. That’s only way he’s a long term piece imo. Let rest of those guys battle for 2nd base. Scooter plays 3rd til senzel is ready. Mister Redpants August 8, 2017 Next year I could realistically see: 1B- Votto 2B- Scooter 3B- Senzel (June) SS- Suarez LF- Winker CF- Hamilton RF- Duvall Bench- Perazza Schebler Mez/ Barnhart Not a bad lineup its the starting pitching that we need help. Not one potential #1 or even #2 on the roster at the moment. Greenfield Red August 8, 2017 I like your lineup, but I disagree somewhat on the starting pitching. What matters to me on starting pitching is not #1, #2, #3, #4, or #5, but rather the ability to put 5 guys out there who are effective. Not that I think they should turn down the opportunity to bring in a big name, but I think the guys are there if they just get over the developmental hump. Mister Redpants August 8, 2017 The best starters we have are questionable at best- Homer- Oft Injured, hopefully he can regain form by next year Disco- Hopefully injury heals and he’s ready to go next year Finnegan- Same, hopefully is back ready to roll Castillio- He’s young and doing well Garrett- Potential Feldman- we could resign but is he really that good? Best case scenario is that were lucky that injuries don’t plaque us like they have for the last 3-4 years, but how many of these guys are potential 20 win starters if everything falls their way 1-2? Doug Gray August 8, 2017 There are 3 potential 20 win starters in all of baseball. So not having one doesn’t really matter. Starters just don’t get that many wins anymore because bullpens are too good to keep your starter out there through 7 innings anymore unless they are named Clayton Kershaw or Max Scherzer. Mister Redpants August 8, 2017 Maybe not 20 win starters then, but of that group who would be a #1-3 type in a playoff teams rotation? Doug Gray August 8, 2017 If Homer Bailey returns to form, him. If DeSclafani returns to form, him. Arnold Ziffle August 8, 2017 The tea leaves I am reading show the2018 lineup as 1B-Joey Votto 2B-Nick Senzel SS-Andrelton Simmons 3B-Eugenio Suarez C-Tucker Barnhart LF-Adam Duvall CF-Billy Hamilton RF-Jesse Winker Bench: Gennett, Kivlehan, C, INF, OF. Notice no Peraza and Schebler. They are traded to LA Angels with Amir Garrett or RStephenson for SS Simmons. Arnold Ziffle August 8, 2017 This lineup would bat: 1. Simmons 2. Senzel 3. Votto 4. Duvall 5. Winker 6. Suarez 7. Barnhart 8. P 9. Hamilton. Speed, power, and OBP. Let the runs start scoring. IndyRedsFan August 8, 2017 Arnold, Not sure what tea leaves you’re reading, but I don’t see the Reds moving Senzel to 2nd. So far, they’ve had him play exactly zero games there as a professional. If the plan is for him to play 2nd in the majors, wouldn’t you think they’d have him playing a few games there now? hunt4redsoct August 8, 2017 Would rather resign Cozart than deal for Simmons. Arnold Ziffle August 8, 2017 Indy, I understand your point. I also don’t see Suarez at SS for 2018. Leaving him at 3B where he has earned his stripes may be best for all. Senzel will be up by April 20 or so in 2018. Do you really want to move Suarez again after how hard he has worked on his defense at 3B? I don’t unless Senzel just outplays him there in spring training. There might be more harmony by just having Senzel play 2B. He’ll be happy to be in the Majors at any position, as most rookies are. I feel like Peraza and Schebler will each be an odd man out for 2018. Trade both for a known need before they become a bench commodity and their trade value plummets. alex August 8, 2017 I’ve been thinking the same thing about senzel playing 2b. Suarez is a top 5 defensive 3b this year and improving alot with the bar as well. you would hope that Suarez would improve even more next year which would make him a great player! I believe the transition shouldnt be to hard for senzel especially since he played some of ss and 2b in college as well. terry m August 8, 2017 I would like to sign Feldman for 18. Need insurance against another year like this one… Doug Gray August 8, 2017 I wouldn’t mind singing a Feldman-like guy as insurance – but I’m not sure Feldman is the guy. What’s going on with his knee? I would need more info on that before saying he’s the guy. terry m August 8, 2017 Feldman like would be a good sign. Think they will need insurance.. MK August 8, 2017 Doug, how did Astin allow a RUN in two SHUTOUT innings? Doug Gray August 8, 2017 He’s magic. I was incredibly tired last night. Billy August 8, 2017 In the first half of the season, Reds position players had the 6th highest fWAR. In the second half (smaller sample size), they’re 27th. CF is the only position where the Reds have been better in the 2nd Half than in the 1st Half. This prompts two questions for me… 1) Which is the real Reds? Do we have a good hitting team or not? I’m sure the reality isn’t as extreme either way as our 2nd Half or 1st Half stats indicate. Still, where do we fall on the spectrum of the in between? I think it is possible that we could have been fooled into believing that this lineup is better than it is. I also think it is possible that this is a lineup on the upswing that has just hit a bit of a wall (or had some bad luck) in the second half of this season. Time will tell, but I’m not ready to make a definitive call one way or the other at this point. 2) That all positions except CF are performing worse than they were in the 1st Half makes me also wonder, “Is hitting really contagious.” We’ve all seen a team string together a series of hits. Confidence soars, and everyone goes to the plate feeling like they’re going to do damage. I want to say that some of the number crunchers have looked into that and found that there’s nothing to it, and that you’d expect runs like that to happen randomly from time to time. Has anyone ever looked at this though? Is it possible that over the longer term, players performing well (or poorly) coincides with their teammates playing well (or poorly)? I’d be curious to know if this is just one of those streaks, or if there’s something more at play here. Doug Gray August 8, 2017 Well, Zack Cozart missing bunches of time didn’t help the second half. Schebler injuring his shoulder didn’t help the second half. But, using WAR in halves doesn’t tell us much. The first half has more than half the games in a season, and it’s complete. The second half isn’t even a month in. The bigger issue is that what’s going to happen with shortstop? There’s almost no chance the Reds can sign/find anyone that’s going to repeat what Cozart did this year. Cozart isn’t going to repeat it, and anyone you could expect to repeat it isn’t available and if they were, would cost you everything you could possibly offer. No, hitting is not contagious. Greenfield Red August 8, 2017 Here’s what I see in terms of the Reds offensively: At first base, Votto continues to have really good seasons, and despite his increasing age, does not appear to be slowing down. At second base, Gennett has been a surprise, but he appears to be settling back to career numbers in the last few weeks. Peraza has got to get better at pitch recognition and selection. He has got to take more walks and increase his OBP. This makes 2B a wild card for next year with Gennett having the inside track. At SS, Zack Cozart has had a great year when not hurt. The Reds should probably offer him a three year deal with a hometown discount to stay (something on the order of 3/24 Mil). If he can get enough more than that to move, he should go. If he is gone, I can see Suarez back at SS next year when Senzel arrives. Suarez’s numbers as a SS would be really valuable… although it doesn’t seem to be the case with Cozart whose numbers are better this year. At third base, Suarez has greatly improved defensively, and has greatly improved in one offensive catagory: walks. I believe the improved walk rate is the ticket to improvement in other areas. If Senzel arrives next May or June and moves Suarez to SS or 2B, the Reds should have quite an offense. In the Outfield, I believe Hamilton is the key. He either has to improve his OBP or be a late inning defender and pinch runner. As Marty says, “I’ve never seen a guy make as many routine outs as Hamilton”. Assuming Winker hits, he’s in left, Schebler in center, and Duvall in right. At catcher, I really don’t think Mesoroco will duplicate his 2014 year. I think Barnhart becomes the every day catcher. His average and OBP is good, but he doesn’t have the power of most catchers. However his defense is good his ABP makes up for some of the power. All of this probably makes him about the 15th best catcher in the game… which is ok when you have a good lineup otherwise. I would like something like this to start next year: Gennett 2B, Winker LF, Votto 1B, Duvall RF, Suarez 3b, Schebler CF, Barnhart C, Peraza SS— with Hamilton as late inning guy. or if Cozart included: Winker LF, Cozart SS, Votto 1b, Duvall RF, Suarez 3b, Schebler CF, Gennett or Peraza 2B, Barnhart C. Then if Senzel comes up: Winker LF, Cozart SS, Votto 1b, Duvall RF, Suarez 2B, Schebler CF, Senzel 3b, Barnhart C. That is a good lineup. sultanofswaff August 8, 2017 +1! Brad August 8, 2017 For 2018, I would like to see: 1. Winker 2. Senzel (May/June arrival) 3. Votto 4. Duvall 5. Gennett 6. Suarez 7. Barnhart/Mesoraco 8. Pitcher 9. Hamilton Bench Schebler – OF Peraza – SS/2B/OF Herrera/Blandino – INF Kivlehan/Ervin – OF Would like to see a package or prospects for a SP and/or signing a SP in free agency. Reds can afford a top of the rotation guy and change in CBA does not remove a first round pick for signing a top FA. Mister Redpants August 8, 2017 As far as free agents at SP next year under 30 years old- Tyler Chatwood Michael Pineada Alex Cobb Jhoulys Chacin Trevor Cahill- Injuries idk Brad August 8, 2017 I like Alex Cobb. Havent done any real looking into. But he would intriguing. Not opposed to signing a SP to a one-year, rebuild value deal. Try to move at deadline if not in race. MikeinSoCal August 8, 2017 Many are projecting that Winker has the RF spot for next season. I am in the camp that believes Schebler has the position. He hit 23 homers rather quickly this season and then hurt his shoulder. Not a lot of RBIs but is it his fault that no one is on base when he hits one out? He played decent defense in RF and probably has Winker beat in that department. Winker gets the nod for better contact, on base pct. Many were saying Duvall was a fluke last season and now it is obvious that he was not. Schebler is improving. Don’t write him off. I do like Winker in that two hole ahead of Votto but time will tell if he deserves to take the RF spot away from Schebler. sultanofswaff August 8, 2017 Agreed. I think the Reds will test drive a 4 man outfield rotation the rest of this year to see if it can be done to everyone’s satisfaction. Greenfield Red August 8, 2017 Assuming all perform at career numbers, I like Winker in left, Schebler in center, and Duvall in right. If Hamilton can’t get on base more than he has historically, he becomes a late inning pinch runner guy. Just my opinion. Doug Gray August 8, 2017 Schebler’s not really a center fielder. That’s the problem. You can’t really get Duvall/Schebler/Winker in the same lineup. There’s no real center fielder in the group. You’re going to have to choose two of those three. Michael W. August 8, 2017 Doug, just curious. Shin Soo Choo wasn’t a true center fielder was he? He did play it though. Would Schebler be able to do what Choo did or was Choo better suited for that? Doug Gray August 8, 2017 Schebler would probably be just as bad as Choo was. The difference is: That pitching staff was full of veterans who were all quite good. The pitching staff next year is full of guys that need tons of defensive help, probably. And Choo was significantly better offensively, too. MK August 8, 2017 Catching position is going to be interesting. Tucker is going to be arbitration eligible this winter and Mesoraco still has a year left on his contract. On performance Tucker should be #1 as he is consistent at plate and much better defensively. Mez has had one good half season in his career and after medical issues he is below average offensively and especially defensively. Krozley August 8, 2017 In regards to next year’s lineup, I like a Gennett/Herrera platoon at 2B since Scooter can’t hit lefties and Herrera needs to be on the 25 man roster (provided he is healthy). I like Schebler as the 4th outfielder who gets a lot of at bats along the way. I think giving the everyday guys regular days off keeps everyone fresh throughout the year, a strategy the Dodgers utilize. Suarez can start the year at 3B and be the back-up for shortstop, taking over there once Senzel arrives with Peraza assuming the utility guy role and doing it much better than Alcantara. I leave Hamilton in CF because his defense and base running are extremely valuable, although I would let him rest a couple games a week, and bat him 9th. That eventual lineup could have 15+ home run power at every position except CF (if Mez can be healthier), with a pretty strong bench. That’s a very good lineup. They would just need to get some pitching to go with it to be competitive. Kap August 8, 2017 Pie in the sky kind of trade idea this winter… -Reds get Christian Yelich -Marlins get Billy Hamilton, Scott Schebler, Sal Romano, and Shed Long (Assuming the Marlins intend in shop Marcel Ozuna as I’ve heard for awhile now) There’s the leadoff hitter the Reds want in front of Votto that is controlled until 2021. The Lineup in June or July would be… 1. Yelich 2. Senzel (assuming he is up in the bigs by then and playing 2nd or 3rd) 3. Winker 4. Votto 5. Duvall 6. Suarez (playing either 2nd, short, or 3rd) 7. Barnhart 8. Peraza 9. Pitcher Like I said, won’t happen but would be a heck of an offense if it did alex August 8, 2017 if winker can get on base in thw majors as a very similar rates as he has done in the minors do you guys think of him as a leadoff? maybe it’s just me but I think speed at rhe too is a little overrated. I like 1. winker 2. senzel 3. votto 4. Duvall 5. Suarez for the top of thw line up. toop 3 guys are all great on base guys for duvall to rack up a huge rbi year. Maybe not the speed but it’s gabp we should have high on base high slugging guys over speed in my mind. CP August 9, 2017 I love the prospect of getting Yelich. Wonder if the Marlins would accept that package for him though… Also, the number of years of control that the Reds would get out of Yelich would be of concern. I’m not sure what his contract situation is, but without an immediate CF option in the higher minors performing at a high level we are going to need a few years of coverage until one of these guys in the lower minors is ready.