Cincinnati Reds #20 Prospect: Miguel Hernandez Doug Gray December 8, 2017 13 Comments The 2017 season began in the Dominican Summer League for Miguel Hernandez. The shortstop got out to a bit of a slow start, going 1-12 over the first three games of the season for the Rojos. He really picked things up over the next 10 games, going 14-42 (.333) with six doubles and two triples. Hernandez slowed down a bit over the final nine games of June, hitting .273 with just two extra-base hits, but it did include his first home run and he walked twice as often as he struck out. For the month the 18-year-old hit .276/.347/.437 with nine walks and 14 strikeouts. He also stole eight bases in nine attempts. After starting July by going 0-4, Miguel Hernandez went on a tear. Over the next seven games he would hit .419, going 13-31. Things took a step backwards over the next seven games as he went just 6-29 (.207), but he was promoted to the United States after that stretch. The Reds assigned him to the Arizona League Reds. In the final week he would go 8-22 (.364) with his new team to finish out the month. In 20 games between the two stops he would hit .314/.341/.360. Miguel Hernandez ended July on a 5-game hitting steak and he kept it going into August by recording hits in three more games before going 0-3 in the second game of a double header on the 4th. After a brief slump the 18-year-old went on a strong run from August 9th through the end of the season. In those 20 games played he hit .333 with six extra-base hits, three walks and just eight strikeouts. Over the final 27 games of the year he hit .305/.328/.407 with three walks and 14 strikeouts. For all 2017 Season Reviews and Scouting Reports – click here (these will come out during the week throughout the offseason). Miguel Hernandez Spray Chart Miguel Hernandez Scouting Report Hitting | At just 18-years-old, Miguel Hernandez is already showing a good ability to hit. He’s able to use the entire field and his strikeout rate was just 13% between his two stops this season. He shows a potential for a slightly above-average hit tool right now. Power | How much pop he develops will come down to how much more he fills out his frame. He’s put on about 15 pounds since he signed and there may be room to add some more good weight in the future. Double digit home runs isn’t out of the question for him. Running | He’s got above-average speed. Arm | He’s got an above-average arm. Defense | Hernandez is an above-average to plus defender at shortstop. The Cincinnati Reds showed confidence in Miguel Hernandez after beginning the year in the Dominican Summer League that he was ready to jump to the Arizona Rookie League and he didn’t disappoint. He stepped up in competition and improved his number offensively. His walk rate was lower than you would like to see, but he improved his contact rate and impressed big time with his defensive play. At just 18-years-old there’s a long way from where he is at today and where he could be. For now, though, he’s already showing strong aspects of his game on defense and in making contact. There’s room for him to grow into some power in the future, though it may remain slightly below-average. 13 Responses Kap December 8, 2017 Does he start in Billings this year? The Duke December 8, 2017 He’ll be 19 in April, it’ll be interesting to see if he goes to Billings, or perhaps Greenville as sort of a mid level rookie league with Arizona being the lower, and Billings being the upper level. The K rate is fantastic, and his glove is his calling card. If he can figure out plate discipline and taking some more walks and taking good strikes (ones that are tough to make good contact on, even if you have to sacrifice 3-4% K rate) with enough pop to be respected, he could be very good. Looking at his MILB profile over his last 10 games in the AZL last year he had 3 BB vs 4 K while hitting .318 in that 10 game stretch. That’ll do, especially from the SS position. Hernandez has a low floor, but there is quite a bit of ceiling there too. Come this time next year he could be out of the top 30, in the top 5, or anywhere in between. terry m December 8, 2017 BA has their write ups on the Rule 5 Draft players. The top 5 are free but the rest of the write ups are premium content. Colorado Red December 8, 2017 Based on a 8 Dec 2017 BA article. 1. Burch Smith, RHP, Rays 2. Mason McCullough, RHP, Diamondbacks 3. Cale Coshow, RHP, Yankees 4. Victor Reyes, OF, Diamondbacks 5. Nick Ciuffo, C, Rays Link: https://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/2017-rule-5-draft-preview-v-1-0/#rZKcPhqMpK271lT7.97 Colorado Red December 8, 2017 Note, To see more then 5, you need the paid subscription. MK December 8, 2017 Have to wonder if Gordon trade could lead to a Hamilton to Miami move. Really was not room for Hamilton and Gordon in same line-up. There could be a package that includes Hamilton and Herrera and others that could get Yelich. Colorado Red December 8, 2017 Probably need a lot of others. Everyone wants Yelich from what I have read. Jim H. December 8, 2017 I doubt anyone would want Herrera right now. Gennett maybe since he is still under control for 2 years. Hamilton, Gennett and a prospect? Would be interesting to see what it would take compared to what we’d give up. Doug Gray December 8, 2017 Marlins are trying to cut salary. Until they move Stanton, if they can, I don’t know that they’ll be looking to add in $9-10M in Hamilton/Gennett. Wes December 8, 2017 Good point mk. Prob not good to have Hamilton and peraza either even if peraza is productive. Miami doesn’t seem eager to give Stanton away. That’s an encouraging sign for those who want yelich. Also their team is pretty good and farm is terrible so I don’t understand why they want to rebuild? Billy scooter Romero and Peralta. Doesn’t save them money but adds 4 controllable pieces and addresses several needs. Shawn December 8, 2017 I doubt that would get it done. I would offer Billy, Iglesias, Duval and a high prospect. Duval could be a cheap replacement for when they trade a corner OFer. Iglesias flipped for prospects and they could either keep Billy or trade him for prospects. Add Yelich, resign Cozart and the Reds would have a very good lineup. Give pitching staff till the All Star break to sort themselves out then add what you need to be competative terry m December 8, 2017 MLB TV had a piece about the one Red teams were asking about and it was Billy H. A couple of teams they mentioned were Seattle and the Rangers. Think Seattle is out now but the Rangers have a lot of interesting players in the minors and on the big club also… The Duke December 8, 2017 I’d target Hans Crouse in a Hamilton deal to the Rangers, along with a second smaller piece.