The ZiPS Top 100 Prospects list was released on Monday at ESPN. To see the list you need to have an Insider account. There is, however, a Cincinnati Reds note that’s on the free side of the paywall. Here’s what ZiPS creator says about Hunter Greene.

One note is that a projection system needs data, so there’s one very notable omission here in Hunter Greene, drafted from high school and very little professional experience. For a player like him, I’m not sure a projection system has a lot to offer at this stage in his career. Projections are cool tools, but knowing how to use a tool also means knowing when not to use it. Hammers do what they do well, but you can’t use them to fix a broken window. I think.

ZiPS is a projection system, not a prediction system. That means, as shown above, that it’s all based on stats that have already been up, age, level of performance, and other input factors that aren’t the opinion of someone. For a guy like Hunter Greene, 4.1 innings simply isn’t enough data to spit out anything useful for a projection.

Nick Senzel comes out as the top Reds prospect in the projections. By comparison to other lists, his #17 rankings is low. The previous low spot has been #9 on Keith Law’s list, also at ESPN.com. Among the entire Top 25 there are only three players who don’t play up the middle or pitch. Eloy Jimenez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr are the other two, and they ranked 9th and 10th.

Tyler Mahle was ranked inside the Top 40 on the list. That would be his highest ranking, by far, among the national lists for the right handed pitcher. The Reds #3 prospect has ranked as highly as 69th on the list by Keith Law at ESPN.com, and was also in the Baseball America Top 100 list at #90.

Jesse Winker shows up just outside of the Top 50 on the list. It is his highest ranking of the offseason. The outfielder who split time between Louisville and Cincinnati was #82 on the MLB Pipeline list. It’s tough to say where he would have ranked on the ESPN.com list from Keith Law, who eventually figured out that Winker was eligible for lists, but only days after his list came out.

Rounding out the list for the Reds prospects was Taylor Trammell. The now 20-year-old outfielder came in ranked in the 90’s. That would be the lowest ranking he’s had of the offseason, by far. His previous low came on the Baseball Prospectus list at #59.

6 Responses

  1. Mjc

    Doesn’t a Gleyber Torres for Eugino Suarez trade make a lotta sense for the reds and Yankees. Good starting point for both teams. Reds very deep at 3rd and need improving at ss while the Yankees are very deep at ss and need a 3rd baseman

    • The Duke

      Miguel Andujar was in AAA last year for them and is a top 20 prospect. Andujar might be their opening day 3B and likely will be a few weeks after the start of the season if not. They didn’t even try to resign Todd Frazier, despite his popularity in the locker room.

      • Mjc

        They didn’t try and sign Frazier for several reasons expected production , but the main reason was luxury tax which is why there going with andujar .Suarez is still very cheap and very good now

    • Bill

      Currently living near NYC, here’s my perception of where the Yankees are … most believe the Yankees would like to upgrade to more experienced options at 2B and 3B, but they are only about $10M under the soft cap. Yankee management wants to keep some room to bolster the roster at the trade deadline. So to make something like Suarez for Torres happen, the Reds would have to be willing to take on Ellsbury’s contract. He’d fit a need playing CF, but would be a modest upgrade if at all. It’s hard to see the Reds taking on that contract or the Yankees parting with sufficient prospects to compensate for the contract. I don’t think the Reds would do the trade 1-for-1 as they would be giving up a budding allstar for a prospect with allstart potential–the Reds would want additional pieces coming back, too.

      That said, I could see mutual interest at the All-star break if the Yankees saw a current upgrade w/some control coming there way (Suarez) and the Reds saw equal, but less refined talent with more control coming to Cincy (Torres).