Cincinnati Reds Minor League Game Review: 8/10/18 Doug Gray August 11, 2018 27 Comments If you aren’t signed up to support the site through Patreon yet, you can do that today and start getting emails each morning with notes and updates from each game (and other perks, including a rundown of how each of the Reds Top 25 prospects performed the night before). Here’s a free preview of what they get, as I was caught up last night with the Seattle Airplane situation and lost about 90 minutes of work time and rather than double up on work, I’m just doing it once. Louisville Bats The Bats won 5-3 on Friday night, improving to 52-62 on the year. Box Score C.J. McElroy went 1-4 with a run scored. Gabriel Guerrero went 1-3 with a walk and a solo home run. He’s hitting .288/.328/.487 in 109 games this season. He’s got 23 doubles, 4 triples, and 17 home runs on the year. Brian O’Grady went 3-4 with a steal, 2 runs scored, and he had an RBI. He’s now hitting .297/.338/.547 in 19 games since being promoted from Pensacola. Chadwick Tromp went 1-4. Taylor Sparks went 2-4 with a run and an RBI. Josh VanMeter went 1-4 with a double and an RBI. Nick Longhi went 1-3 with a double. Lucas Sims allowed a run in 6.0 innings with 2 walks and 7 strikeouts. He threw 91 pitches with 58 strikes, and had 4 ground outs with 5 fly outs. Austin Brice threw a perfect inning with a strikeout. Kevin Quackenbush threw a hitless inning with a walk and 3 strikeouts. Pensacola Blue Wahoos The Blue Wahoos lost 8-6 on Friday night, falling to 61-54 on the year. Box Score Jose Siri went 1-2 with a triple and a run scored. He was ejected from the game, along with manager Jody Davis, after his second at-bat for arguing balls and strikes. TJ Friedl went 1-4 with a steal. The steal was his 25th of the season between Pensacola and Daytona. Aristides Aquino went 2-4 with a run scored. Mitch Nay went 2-4 with a double, run scored, and he had 2 RBI. Narciso Crook went 1-4 with a run scored. Gavin LaValley went 1-4 with a home run and 3 RBI. It was the second straight game with a home run. Tony Santillan allowed 5 runs in 4.2 innings with 3 walks and 7 strikeouts. This was his first bad start since reaching Double-A a little more than a month ago. His ERA jumped up to 2.70 with Pensacola after the outing. Daytona Tortugas The Tortugas lost a double header on Friday night, falling to 60-54 on the year. Game 1: 7-1 loss. Box Score Randy Ventura went 1-3. Ibandel Isabel went 1-3 with a solo home run. It was his 27th of the season. Brantley Bell went 1-3 with a double. Kevin Canelon threw 4.0 shutout innings with a walk and 4 strikeouts in the spot start. He lowered his ERA to 2.61 with the Tortugas. Game 2: 6-5 loss. Box Score Randy Ventura went 2-3 with a walk and 2 runs scored. Ibandel Isabel went 2-4 with 2 home runs and 4 RBI. That pushed his season home run total to 29, 28 of which have come with the Tortugas. Brantley Bell went 1-3 with 2 steals. He’s now got 15 steals on the season. Alfredo Rodriguez went 1-3 with a triple and a run scored. Since coming off of the disabled list in late July he’s had 2 doubles, a triple, and 2 home runs in 11 games played. Michael Byrne threw 2.0 shutout innings with 2 strikeouts. Ryan Hendrix threw a perfect inning with 3 strikeouts. Since the beginning of July he’s walked 3 batters with 26 strikeouts in 13.1 innings. His ERA for the season is down to 1.84. Dayton Dragons The Dragons lost 11-4 on Friday night, falling to 51-64 on the season. Box Score Jose Garcia went 1-4 with a home run, 2 RBI, and he was hit by a pitch. The home run was his 4th of the year and his 2nd in the last 5 games played. Andy Sugilio went 2-5. Jonathan India went 0-3 with a walk, was hit by a pitch, and he scored a run. Alejo Lopez went 1-4 with a double, run scored, and he had an RBI. Reshard Munroe went 1-4 with an RBI. Raul Wallace went 1-3 with a walk and a run scored. Mark Kolozsvary went 1-3 with a double and he was hit by a pitch. Miguel Aguilar threw 2.1 perfect innings with a walk and 2 strikeouts. Billings Mustangs The Mustangs won 4-3 on Friday night, improving to 26-25 on the year. Box Score Zeek White went 1-4 with a double, run scored, and he had 2 RBI. Mariel Bautista went 1-4. Jay Schuyler went 1-3 with a run scored. Juan Martinez went 1-2 with a walk and a run scored. James Marinan threw 6.0 shutout innings with 2 walks and 2 strikeouts. The Mustangs are now 11-2 in the second half of the season and in first place by 4 games over Missoula. The win was also the 2999th in Mustangs franchise history. Greeneville Reds The Reds won 13-9 on Friday night in 11 innings, improving to 19-29 on the year. Box Score Mike Siani went 3-6 with a run scored. He’s hitting .319 on the year. Claudio Finol went 3-5 with 2 doubles, a walk, 2 runs scored, and he had 2 RBI. The 18-year-old is now hitting .330 on the season. Reniel Ozuna went 2-5 with a walk, double, 2 runs scored, and he had 4 RBI. Rylan Thomas went 2-6 with a run scored and he had an RBI. Brian Rey went 2-6 with 2 runs scored. Justin Bellinger went 3-5 with a walk, home run, and he had 4 RBI. His home run came in the 10th inning and was his 2nd of the season. Robert Boselli went 1-3 with an RBI. Miguel Hernandez went 2-5 with 2 runs scored. Miguel Medrano allwoed 3 earned in 5.2 innings with 8 strikeouts. Cory Heitler was charged with an unearned run in 1.1 innings with 3 strikeouts. Connor Bennett allowed 1 earned in 2.0 innings with a walk and a strikeout. Ian Koch was charged with an unearned run in an inning with a walk and 2 strikeouts. The day was crazy for the Reds. Prior to the game they saw a fatal car accident, leading some of the players to leap into action to try and help. In the top of the 9th inning they would tie the game up at 6-6. Both teams would score 2 runs in the 10th inning. In the top of the 11th they put the game away by scoring 5 runs. AZL Reds The Reds lost 3-2 on Friday night, falling to 8-32 on the season. Box Score Leonardo Seminati went 2-4 with a run scored. Debby Santana went 1-4 with a run scored. Cristian Olivo went 1-3 with a double. Orlando Noriega threw 4.0 innings with 4 strikeouts. He lowered his ERA to 3.95 on the season. Francis Peguero threw 2.0 perfect innings with 2 strikeouts. Juan Manuel Abril was charged with an unearned run in 1.2 innings with a strikeout. DSL Reds The Reds lost 13-4 on Friday afternoon, falling to 27-32 on the year. Box Score Jose Acosta went 2-4 with a run and he had an RBI. Allan Cerda went 1-3 with an RBI. Top 25 Prospect Rundown 8/11 Game Preview Team 1st half 2nd half Time (ET) Probable Box Score Listen Live Watch Live Louisville 52-62 N/A 6:30pm Nicolino Here Here Here Pensacola 30-38 31-16 8:05pm Wright Here Here Here Daytona 37-29 23-25 7:05pm Bergjans Here Here N/A Dayton 31-37 20-27 7:05pm Solomon Here Here Here Billings 15-23 11-2 8:05pm Alecis Here Here Here Greeneville 19-29 N/A 7:00pm Heatherly Here Here N/A AZL Reds 8-32 0-0 10:00pm TBA Here N/A N/A 27 Responses kevinz August 11, 2018 OGrady and Nay get over looked but I like them two. I believe could be Nice depth Pieces. Also could make it farther than Our over hyped Younger Prospects. Finding late Rd Picks and Older hyped prospects Crucial since Top Prospects fail so often. Reply Michael Smith August 11, 2018 But done the two types you mention fail just as much if not more? Reply kevinz August 11, 2018 Correct I should have said it Crucial to hit on the Unknown Guys. Since all Prospects a risk so it is Important to hit on some Non Top Prospects as well. redlegs4ever August 11, 2018 If Gabby Guerrero just walked a little bit more I would like to see what he could do in Cincinnati the rest of the year. Still not entirely against it though. I’ve been one of Ervin’s bigger supporters, I never expected him to play like a 1st round pick because I knew he wasn’t one, but his defense has been absolutely atrocious. If this Dilson in the OF thing is real I would prefer he play out there over everyone. I’ll believe it when I see it though guy can’t even get a start at his position over a guy with 1 arm. Scooter could turn into Bucky Lagrange and Riggleman would still run him out there… Reply Shawn August 11, 2018 Scooter gets crushed on here daily and to an extent, I get it. I’m just going off of memory, but I think his batting average was .313 during his first ab last night, which he got a hit. I believe he has a hurt shoulder and something going on in one of his knees. I’m not sure you should give him a long range extension. But I will say this, he has guts and gives it everything he’s got. He seems great for the clubhouse. Nobody wanted him in a trade because the injuries are obvious, but I think he’s been different since he didn’t play about three weeks ago when he was sick. Now I don’t think he should be run out there everyday. Dilson should be splitting time. I would say if he made it through revocable waivers the Reds may still be trying to acquire something. He will never be an outfielder as he has compensated to been a side arm thrower, but Hunter pence made it work. Although, it was ugly. I end this long unorganized set of thoughts by saying I love players with guts. I think it’s good for the team atmosphere. I would take scooter for 3-24 mil and love it. That been said, he needs to heal and have another spot to play so he wasn’t locked into second. That statement contradicted an earlier thought in a way. All I’m saying is I’ve coached and players with intestinal fortitude are hard to replace. Reply Cguy August 11, 2018 Everybody, well almost everybody, at this & other sites was sure Scooter Gennett would digress this season. He has not, not at all. He is playing with some injuries, but a lot of ML players have accumulated some type of injury by mid August. Scooter is not a problem, now or in 2019. Evidently the Reds couldn’t find a suitable trading partner for Scooter’s talent & that’s someone else’s loss. All the other ML teams know the Reds will have Scooter, Senzel, Hererra, Blandino, & Long vying for the 2nd base job next season. There’s nothing like having options, for playing & for trading. redleggingfordayz August 11, 2018 Cguy, I assume you meant regression instead of digress, but he is pretty much right in the middle of that now. Since the start of July Scooter owns <.800 OPS. Not saying he can't breakout again, but that is kind of a regression from where he was :). kevinz August 11, 2018 Like scooter but if was not for one Huge Month he a average hitter this year. Norwood Nate August 11, 2018 Yeah as his BABIP has regressed to the mean so have the rest of his numbers. I believe I read he’s producing at a 108 wRC+ since the end of May until now. That’s an above average contributor on offense but not the elite hitter some tried to make him out to be. Combined with iffy defense and he’s probably an average player overall outside of a hot start to the season. Nothing wrong with that, but it aligns with what many of us tried to say when everyone wanted to sign him long term when his BABIP was in the.390’s. Cguy August 11, 2018 Yes I meant regress. I digressed. So Scooter is in the middle of regression? I guess you mean that in his last 30 games Scooter is 21 for 82 with a .256/ .322/.700 line? Would you also agree that a guy hitting 24 for his last 88 with a .273/ .313/ .881 line is also regressing? one Eugenio Suarez? I don’t think either player is regressing. Most players are streaky. RedsinWashst August 11, 2018 Shawn, I think the problem most people have is with Dilson. He was tearing it up in 3A so the Reds bring him even knowing he can’t be sent back down. Now their old school manager won’t play him at all. In many ways he is like Price. If there is one place the FO should step in it is getting Dilson more playing time. Shawn August 11, 2018 I get that Wash St. He’s just been so heroic at times when we haven’t had much to be exited about. When they brought dilson up, I was sure scooter was gone. Was it ownership buffoonery, we’ll never know. Dilson has been heroic in a few of his limited opportunities. Tampa Red August 11, 2018 The thing with Scooter is everyone picks a certain date or a certain number of games and says, there, that’s who he is. The problem with that is baseball is a 162 game season with highs and lows, slumps and hot streaks, and ultimately that’s how every player should be judged. For whatever the reason, Scooter is one of those flash point guys that never seems to get the benefit of the doubt. He’s also going to be one of those guys that won’t be truly appreciated until he’s gone. I’m pretty outspoken in my opinion that the Reds are a better team with Scooter than without him and honestly, I don’t think it’s even close. As we’ve seen this year and every year, injuries happen and when they do and you’re not deep, it will destroy a team. If you’re going to truly compete, you can’t expect to run the same guys out there 150-162 games a year. Take a look at the best teams this year. Virtually all of them have 10 or more guys on track to get 400 or more AB’s. That is exactly the goal that the Reds should have. With an 8 man bullpen, you’re only going to have a 4 man bench, and one of them will be a catcher and another one will “probably” be a guy that can play some SS without killing you. That leaves two guys. They better be versatile, and they also need to be really good hitters. With the shift and advanced metrics, they don’t need to be great fielders at each position, but obviously they need to be able to play at least at a big league average. Honestly, the only guys that shouldn’t be moved around at least a little bit are Votto, Hamilton if he’s still here and whoever is catching that day. Even Suarez or maybe Senzel needs to be able to play SS from time to time. The Reds aren’t quite where they need to be with their roster yet. They are still a piece or two away, and I think getting Schebler and Winker back and adding Senzel will go a long way to creating the sort of versatile, dynamic roster that can win. It would help if Dixon could prove he can hit at the big league level. You see flashes but the jury is still out on him. Of course they will need the right manager to make it all work. There’s a lot I like about Riggleman but at the end of the day, he’s probably not the guy I’d hire. And about that pitching….. Shawn August 11, 2018 Tampa Red, amen. I really agree with your post. Get to see dilson in left. If he plays well there, I think the bat plays there. Well, that’s because I think dilsons bat plays everywhere. Bill August 11, 2018 Well said Tampa Red. Norwood Nate August 12, 2018 Tampa, I think most of your first paragraph is right on. Many people have picked a certain number of games, month, etc and made up their mind on Scooter. You have to have a longer view and bigger sample size, I completely agree. Which is exactly why, when so many around these parts were declaring Scooter an elite offensive player after starting the season incredibly hot, many others pointed out that his production was unsustainable. At one point in time he had a BABIP in the 390’s. People said that was bound to come down and his overall production would come down with it. At the time it was even suggested to me that using the phrase “hot streak” wasn’t warranted because he’d been good for a while. Well since the last week of May those numbers have cooled. He did regress to the mean and his numbers came back down to earth just as myself and many others said he would. There is no denying that. He’s still an above average offensive contributor. I have stated that the sample size between last year and this year is enough to suggest his ability there is real and not a fluke season. At the same time he was never going to keep up the level of hitting he was at for the first two months. Again, you’re correct, take the longview as things tend to even out over time. Nsal August 11, 2018 Question and this one has bothered me for a while.. How can a pitcher make an error, no one elses fault, and not get an earned run? It was his fault the run should count.. If someone has a logical explanation on why this is unearned please take this weight off my chest so I can finally sleep. Reply JUSTIN August 11, 2018 While it’s the pitcher’s fault it’s his fault as a defender not a pitcher as with any other error. Reply Kap August 11, 2018 Can’t wait to see sims in Cincinnati. Think people are under selling him a bit. Reply kevinz August 11, 2018 He walks almost a batter every other inning in AAA. how many would that be in MLB? Wish the Guy well but his Command is shaky but that the Reds Pitchers for ya. Reply Shawn August 11, 2018 Kev, for a guy that’s usually so positive, you’ve been on the negative train for a few days. Wouldn’t you agree that Sims needs to sort it out like all the other guys we are waiting on. If you believe in Reed, mahle(walks were an issue in cincy), Stephenson, shouldn’t we say Sims may be a late bloomer. If the stuff plays, we have to hope they all find it. Just have to get lucky on a couple soon. Bailey, disco, and Castillo are locked in for 2019 barring injury. I’ve seen some suggestions of moving Castillo to the pen and I think that’s ludacris. He’s much more valuable as a starter. Need to find two more. I think Sally has grown from been around Harvey, may just be me. I digress, go reds. kevinz August 11, 2018 I have no problem with Sims just feel like give him more time in minors. Let Stephenson Sal and the Older Younger Pitchers Pitch rest of season in MLB. Sims either start next season in minors then called up later or start him in the MLB . Let Sal start rest of this season in the least. Castillo along with Sal have been best SP the last 6 weeks. Norwood Nate August 11, 2018 I really like that easy power Ibandel can tap into. It’s impressive what he’s done in the FSL. Wonder what the HR record for the league is? Sims has impressed since coming over. Glad to have him in the system to add more options for the rotation. Marinan with a good start as well. He’s strung together a couple good starts in a row where he’s gone 15.1 innings with just 1 ER. Daytona has some nice relievers in Hendrix and Byrne. Can never have too many relievers to call upon as they tend to be erratic year to year. Reply kevinz August 11, 2018 Isabel Power is very nice to See. The best part as a right hand batter is hitting over 280 vs RHP. Reply MikeD August 11, 2018 It looks like the Reds have a short stop! I was one of many super critical of Jose Peraza, but when I watch him now, I see a young player coming into his own. Of course we can all be critical of his OBP, but it is trending up and that’s all we can ask. We can also be critical of his limited power, but I am fine with that as he is hitting and playing improved defense. This is another perfect example of not judging a trade to quickly. I would say the Reds have a short stop for a few years or until they can’t afford him. All the talk (me included) of moving Suraez or Senzel to short now make no sense. Reply Show Triple Slash August 11, 2018 Perhaps an article on Ibandel Isabel would be interesting. Isn’t he in a league that has historically held down power, whereas he has 28 HRs as a Tortuga? I see he DH’s a lot in the box scores, and plays 1B. He is listed as a 1B/LF; does he have realistic prospects in LF? I see he Ks quite a bit; are there things behind that and positional limitations that may have persuaded the Dodgers to part for him in return for Ariel Hernandez? Presumably he starts in Pensacola next year, with perhaps a chance at Louisville later in the year? Reply Cguy August 11, 2018 I’m keeping up on the Bats game tonight. Nicolino got knocked around. The Bats are now up 6-3. My point is that Louisville’s bullpen is substantially better with Wisler & Reyes. Just 2 more bullpen arms with some talent. After the last few futile years , it’s nice to have a good bullpen @ Cincy & Louisville. 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