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Thursday, April 03rd, 2008 | Author: Doug Gray

Dayton Dragons - 7:05 PM on the road versus Great Lakes. Scott Carroll takes the mound.

Sarasota Reds - 7:05 PM at Fort Meyers. Jordan Smith takes on Francisco Liriano.

Chattanooga Lookouts - 8:05 PM on the road at Montgomery. Daryl Thompson is scheduled to start.

Louisville Bats - 2:05 PM in Syracuse. Homer Bailey is scheduled to start.

You can listen to Dayton, Chattanooga and Louisville live on Milb.com by signing up for a free account. You can click here to go to sportsjuice.com to listen to the Sarasota game.

I am about to head down for the Reds game to hopefully see Cueto pitch some, but its not looking promising.

Category: 2008 Preview  | 7 Comments
Wednesday, April 02nd, 2008 | Author: Doug Gray

First Round through Fifth Round

  • Devin Mesoraco - Extended Spring Training
  • Todd Frazier - Dayton Dragons
  • Kyle Lotzkar - Extended Spring Training
  • Zach Cozart - DL
  • Scott Carroll - Dayton Dragons
  • Neftali Soto - Extended Spring Training
  • Andrew Bowman - Dayton Dragons

Sixth Round through Fifteenth Round

  • Evan Hildenbrandt - Extended Spring Training
  • Brandon Waring - Dayton Dragons
  • Alexis Oliveras - Extended Spring Training
  • Harris Honeycutt - Extended Spring Training
  • Jordan Wideman - Extended Spring Training
  • Scott Gaffney - Extended Spring Training
  • Brandon Menchaca - Dayton Dragons
  • Joseph Krebs - Dayton Dragons
  • Matt Klinker - Dayton Dragons

Sixteenth Round and on (only players assigned are listed)

  • Raymond Jeffords - Dayton Dragons
  • Jason Bour - Dayton Dragons
  • Jeremy Horst - Dayton Dragons
  • Curtis Partch - Dayton Dragons
  • Brett Bartles - Dayton Dragons

One thing that is strange is that not a single draft pick is starting higher than Low A. The Reds have to be the only team in baseball with something like that. I still find it a little crazy that Todd Frazier is going to start in Dayton.

Category: 2008 Preview  | 10 Comments
Tuesday, April 01st, 2008 | Author: Doug Gray

David Paschall wrote an article on Cody Strait who will make his second season debut with the Lookouts. Here are some of the highlights:

The most frightening moment for the Chattanooga Lookouts last season occurred May 20 at AT&T Field, when right fielder Cody Strait foul tipped a ball into his right eye and fractured his orbital socket.

“After I got hurt, I kept struggling for a while, but I had a good last month and feel strong and healthy and ready to go.”

“Cody is not scared,” (Jamie) Dismuke said. “He’s digging in there and taking it like a champ like nothing went on, and that was the part I was scared of. I thought he might be a little tentative, but he’s shown no effects of it at all.”

Said Strait: “I just lost a year is basically how I’m looking at it, so now I’m right back where I started in ’07. I’m ready to go.”

Strait was a strong prospect coming into last year showing off good power and speed in the FSL, but last year he kind of fell apart. He has lots of tools and he dealt with the eye injury, which certainly caused him some problems last year. He is certainly worth following this year as his package of tools aren’t easily matched throughout the system.

Kevin Czerwinski of Milb.com wrote an article on 10 Names to Know in the International League. Our Reds had 2 names on the list:

1. Jay Bruce, OF
Louisville Bats (Cincinnati)

The former first-rounder excelled at three levels last year, including 187 at-bats with Louisville. Overall, he hit .319 with 26 homers, 89 RBIs and 80 extra-base hits. He was named the top prospect in all of baseball by MiLB.com, and with good reason. He got nicked up early in camp with a strained quadriceps muscle, costing him nearly a week of playing time, and a few more months at Triple-A clearly won’t stop him. He’s going to be in the heart of the Cincinnati order before long.

8. Homer Bailey, RHP
Louisville Bats (Cincinnati)

Bailey got a taste of life in Cincinnati last season, going 4-2 with a 5.76 ERA in nine starts. He was also 6-3 with a 3.07 ERA in 12 starts at Louisville, putting him a position to win a spot in the Reds’ starting rotation this spring. Didn’t happen. The former first-rounder had a rough spring (1-3, 5.21 ERA, 24 hits allowed and 16 walks in 19 innings), so from that standpoint his being sent back down wasn’t much of a surprise. The fact that he missed a big chunk of last year with a groin injury also prevented him from gaining some valuable mound time — time he’ll be able to make up over the next few months in Louisville.

Tim Leonard has an International League preview on Milb.com. Here is what he has to say on our Louisville Bats:

Louisville Bats
2007 Results: 73-70
2008 Manager: Rick Sweet
Things to look forward to: Jay Bruce. The center fielder seems destined to become a star. Before that happens, he’ll spend a little more time in Louisville after the Reds optioned the top prospect in baseball to Triple-A during Spring Training. Don’t wait until May or June to go to Louisville Slugger Field — Bruce likely won’t be there too long. … Highly touted right-hander Homer Bailey also wound up in Louisville after struggling during Spring Training. Bailey, who won’t turn 22 until May, was expected to have the inside track for a spot in the Reds’ rotation. With two rookies in the Reds rotation, Bailey’s stay at Louisville could be longer than Bruce’s. … The Dave Matthews Band will play a concert at Louisville Slugger Field on Aug. 1. It will be the band’s first appearance in Louisville since 1995. Country music legend Willie Nelson also will perform that night. Tickets for the show are $65 for lower-bowl reserved seats and $55 for upper-deck seats. … The Triple-A All-Star Game will be played at Louisville Slugger Field on July 16. The game will feature top players from Minor League Baseball’s top two circuits, the International League and the Pacific Coast League. This will be Louisville’s second Triple-A All-Star Game — the other was in 1991, when National League affiliates defeated the American League affiliates. Louisville will become the first International League city to play host to the current incarnation of the All-Star Game.

C.L. Brown wrote an article on Homer Bailey for the Courier Journal. Here are some of the highlights from that one.

“We lose track of how hard this game is,” Bailey said yesterday. “There’s a reason there are only a select few up there and there’s even a more select few that excel. It’s not something that’s going to be learned overnight.”

Bailey will be the Bats’ opening-day pitcher. It’s not something he expected, but he’s learning not to rush his ascent to the major leagues.

“I have probably (less) patience than anybody,” he said. “When I’m not doing as well as I can, I do have to sit back and say, ‘Take a look at the big picture. Take a step back and slow down and get everything under control.’ ”

“He’s still 21 years old; people forget about that,” (Ricky) Stone said. “He moved so quickly and has done so well so early, and now they’re saying his control is not there; well, his control is there.

“He’s got to get his confidence. He’s going to get it down here (Triple-A) and going to go right at hitters.”

Louisville pitching coach Ted Power said Bailey’s control correlates to how he goes at those batters.

“It’s just a matter of consistency,” Power said. “He’s got to throw strikes earlier in the count so they can’t sit on certain pitches and he’s not forced to throw his second- or third-best pitch when he’s behind in the count instead of his fastball.”

Both Power and Bailey said his problems have been more mental than mechanical. He admitted he has been in situations on the mound where he has lost focus.

“You could be out there mowing the lawn and start thinking about something else, and you look back like, ‘I just missed a spot there,’ ” Bailey said. “It’s kind of the same thing.”

Good stuff from Brown there. Go read the entire article.

Friday, March 21st, 2008 | Author: Doug Gray

After getting through Dayton through Louisville earlier this week, today I wanted to look at prospects to watch, but for different reasons.

1. Drew Stubbs - CF

Reason to watch - The biggest reason to keep an eye on Drew Stubbs is his health. He had offseason surgery to fix a nagging turf toe injury he has had since he started with the Reds. He came on strong over the second half of last season (.303/.394/.517). He has been tearing the cover off the ball in spring so far with the AAA guys (though he won’t start there). It will be fun to see him turn things around this year with his health.

2. Carlos Fisher - RHP

Reason to watch - Fisher (Photo: Tim Evearitt) will be taking on a new role this year. The big right hander will be moving to the bullpen, likely adding to a strong suit of the upper minors depth already there. Fisher is suited well for the bullpen and his 91-94 MPH fastball may be able to gain a little extra if he is only going to be pitching an inning at a time.

3. Neftali Soto - SS

Reason to watch - Soto burst onto the scene last year as a draft pick out of Puerto Rico in the 3rd round. He hit the ground running last year, but slowed down late with an elbow injury that caused his season to end early. He may be fighting for some playing time in Dayton with a plethora of guys in the SS/2B/3B area between Dayton and Sarasota who will all be competing for playing time. Even if he doesn’t start out with Dayton, when he starts playing he will be someone to keep an eye on.

4. Denis Phipps - OF 

Reason to watch - Tools wise, Phipps is near the top of the system. Experience wise, he is likely at the bottom. He has only played baseball for the last 4 years as he was a basketball player prior to that time. He could really be a good player if he can put his tools to use completely on a baseball field. His athleticism warrants that he makes this list as someone to really keep your eye on.

5. Josh Ravin - RHP 

Reason to watch - I can’t say for sure where he will start out, but anytime you have a 20 year old with a 99 MPH fastball he is someone to watch. Last year he had some struggles with non arm related injuries off and on and struggled with his command and consistency. He has clean mechanics though that should lead to better control this year so long as he can keep healthy.  Wherever he starts, he is definitely a guy worth keeping tabs on at least.

Thursday, March 20th, 2008 | Author: Doug Gray

The rosters aren’t close to being out yet, so this is all assumption on my part on who will be on the roster. I am going to list 4 players to watch for each team (assuming they are assigned where I believe they will be assigned) and give a quick reason or two to really watch this guy.

1. Jay Bruce - OF

Reason to watch - Bruce (photo: Tim Evearitt) is the best prospect in baseball, but there are a few things he could improve on. I don’t expect him to be in Louisville long, but while he is there he is the number 1 guy to keep an eye on both in terms of talent and in terms of importance.

2. Homer Bailey - RHP

Reason to wach - Bailey appears to be healthy this year aftet struggling with groin issues for the better part of last year. The pressure won’t be on him as much this year with a little more stability in the Reds rotation. Bailey could work on his control a little bit as well as his offspeed stuff (change up more than curve). Getting consistent is more important for Bailey than the overall results in Louisvile.

3. Josh Roenicke - RHP

Reason to watch - Roenicke could be the future closer, but he could step up as soon as this year to really add to the Reds bullpen. He will likely begin in Louisville as the closer to work on his overall stuff and get his innings in under pressure. Stuff wise, he is a top notch closing prospect but he could likely use a little seasoning before being put into situations under pressure in the majors.

4. Tyler Pelland - LHP

Reason to watch - Being a left handed relief prospect is something that the Reds could use if someone like Mike Stanton struggles at the big league level. This will be Pellands first full season as a reliever but he has already spent time in AAA with success. Having a strong season will really help boost the pressure on the Reds bullpen guys to succeed.

Yesterday I covered the Chattanooga LookoutsTuesday I covered the Sarasota Reds and Monday I coverd the Dayton Dragons. Tomorrow I plan on covering some of the other guys to keep an eye on for different reasons.

Wednesday, March 19th, 2008 | Author: Doug Gray

The rosters aren’t close to being out yet, so this is all assumption on my part on who will be on the roster. I am going to list 4 players to watch for each team (assuming they are assigned where I believe they will be assigned) and give a quick reason or two to really watch this guy.

1. Craig Tatum - C (Photo: MWLguide.com/Flickr)

Reason to watch - Tatum isn’t the best catcher in the system, but he is a solid prospect at a higher level. He hit very well in the FSL last year before his promotion to Chattanooga where he struggled a bit with his hitting (although he did improve his walk rate dramatically).  If Tatum can have a solid season he could be in the big league plans soon.

2. Danny Dorn - OF 

Reason to watch - Dorn lit Chattanooga on fire last year, but it was in just 90 at bats in the last month of the season. He is likely to start in Chattanooga against. With the contract status of our current corner outfielders, if Dorn can continue his production up the ladder he could really help solve a problem if the Reds don’t sign anyone. He struggles against lefties, so hopefully we can see an improvement there, but he kills righties so maybe it won’t matter much.

3. Daryl Thompson - RHP

Reason to watch - After pitching very well in Sarasota last year Thompson came into spring training and got into a few games in spring training with the Reds this year. He struck out 4 batters, walked none and allowed no hits in 2.1 innings. The jump to AA is supposed to be one of the biggest in baseball. Thompson could become a legit option with a strong season for the Lookouts.

4. Derrik Lutz - RHP

Reason to watch - Lutz is one of the Reds many solid bullpen prospects throughout the system. He is an extreme ground ball pitcher who also gets a solid number of strikeouts. He began last year in AA, but it was only as a fill in. This year he will start there and for good reason. Like Thompson, if he can make the jump to AA and perform well it would just help bolster the Reds options heading into 2009 in free agency for the bullpen which very soon could feature a whole lot of younger guys produced through the system.

Yesterday I covered the Sarasota Reds and Monday I touched on the Dayton Dragons. Tomorrow I will preview the Louisville Bats and on Friday will cover some of the guys who weren’t listed with a team for different reasons.

Tuesday, March 18th, 2008 | Author: Doug Gray

The rosters aren’t close to being out yet, so this is all assumption on my part on who will be on the roster. I am going to list 4 players to watch for each team (assuming they are assigned where I believe they will be assigned) and give a quick reason or two to really watch this guy.

1. Travis Wood - LHP 

Reason to watch -  Coming into 2007, Wood was one of the Reds top ranked prospects after having a successful season in Dayton. He however ran into arm problems during the season and was shut down. He is back and pitching well this spring. If Wood can pitch to his potential, he will be one more reason that the Reds can claim to have lots of depth in one of the better systems in all of baseball.

2. Todd Frazier - SS 

Reason to watch - Frazier was taken in last years supplemental first round and came onto the scene just hitting like we expected in Billings. He brings an advanced approach to the plate and should be able to handle the jump from Billings to Sarasota just fine. He won’t likely stick at SS, but will play there for now.

3. Scott Carroll - RHP

Reason to watch - Last years 3rd round pick was taken care of with kid gloves last year after being drafted. He only pitched 15 innings in Billings. He will be 23 years old this season but has quality stuff and it will be his first real test of pro ball.

4. Juan Francisco - 3B 

Reason to watch - Francisco has plenty of power at the plate and he plays a solid 3B, but there are some questions about his plate discipline and his strikeouts. If he doesn’t get his walk rate up some and try to cut down on his strikeouts, his development will be slowed. Sarasota is a big step for him, lets hope his aggressiveness has calmed a little bit and hopefully it will lead to a big season.

Yesterday I covered the Dayton Dragons and tomorrow I will cover the Chattanooga Lookouts.

Monday, March 17th, 2008 | Author: Doug Gray

The rosters aren’t close to being out yet, so this is all assumption on my part on who will be on the roster. I am going to list 4 players to watch for each team (assuming they are assigned where I believe they will be assigned) and give a quick reason or two to really watch this guy.

1. Kyle Lotzkar - RHP

Reason to watch - As a supplemental first round draft pick, the potential is obviously there, but Lotzkar’s performance last year surpassed his predraft hype. He showed a fastball as high as 95 MPH and showed control, which had been something the predraft reports said he needed work with. He could be one of the youngest players in the league next year, but I don’t think that will stop him from performing well.

2. Brandon Waring - 3B

Reason to watch - Who doesn’t like Home Runs? Well, pitchers on opposing teams, but we don’t care about those guys anyways. Last year Waring set the Billings record for HR’s in a season after finishing second in the NCAA in HR earlier in the year. He could challenge Samone Peter’s Dayton HR record (28 in 2001) if he sticks around all season, but I doubt he is in Dayton long enough.

3. Devin Mesoraco - C 

Reason to watch - Last years 1st pick has all the tools you want in a catcher. He stumbled at the plate last season with two injured thumbs, but he has been impressing so far in the spring. He isn’t a lock to start in Dayton, but I get a feeling that he will see some time there even with several other catchers in contention for playing time. His talent behind the plate is noticeable right away and at the plate he has a quick bat that will impress.

4. Justin Reed - OF

Reason to watch - After struggling his first season Reed burst onto the scene last year in the GCL before getting a promotion to Billings. He is a very toolsy player who made some strides in his game last year.  His speed is well above average and at the plate he has good bat speed although his swing is still a work in progress.

Tomorrow I will take a look at the Sarasota Reds.

Saturday, March 08th, 2008 | Author: Doug Gray

Reds heading to Arizona? 

The Reds could be leaving Ed Smith Stadium (Photo: Amber Zawaski)

The Sarasota Herald Tribune has an article up right now and right in the middle is this quote from John Allen:

“If they come up with the funding, wherever they get it from, we are going to Goodyear,”

To me, that signals they are going to Arizona. Goodyear is going to come up with the money, they don’t seem to have had any problems doing it so far. There is more to the article, but that quote sums it up pretty much for me.

Stopping by Reds camp

Lisa Winston (of Milb.com) stopped by Reds camp and wrote an article about it for Milb.com. She covers Jay Bruce, Josh Roenicke, Adam Rosales and has a brief interview with Joey Votto.

More info on Juan Duran

Ben Badler over at Baseball America has more information on Juan Duran. Nothing major, but hits on how the Reds went about signing Duran and keeping it quiet while doing so.  It also notes that he is about 6′5″ and he says he weighs 204 pounds. Badler also says that Duran is in the Dominican right now, but could end up in US before spring training is over.

Sunday, February 24th, 2008 | Author: Doug Gray

Homer Bailey threw live batting practice today and here is what he and John Fay had to say about it:

I finally saw Homer Bailey throw against hitters. He looked good against a good group – Brandon Phillips, Alex Gonzalez, Edwin Encarnacion and Craig Tatum.

“I feel good,” Bailey said. “I’m prepared. I think the experience of last year will help.”

Fay also had this on Volquez, Roenicke and Cueto:

I watched Edinson Volquez, Johnny Cueto and Josh Roenicke throw live batting practice and didn’t see one solidly hit ball.

Roenicke has the best arm in camp. Volquez is a notch behind. One scout told that Cueto has a chance to be best of them all. “He’s got a great arm and he throws strikes.”

Here is what Dusty Baker had to say about Matt Maloney:

“Not only does he have good breaking stuff, he has deceptively quick late movement on his fastball. He’s not afraid to throw the ball inside to right-handers, which is one of t he toughest things to teach a left-hander to do because they don’t really trust that pitching area because it creeps back over the plate. Most of the left-handers I didn’t like to face were (threw inside to right-handers). If he can throw it inside like that, it means he can peel that plate – peel it like a banana.”

Mark Sheldon has a nice piece up on all of the young pitchers in camp on Reds.com. Below are some of the highlights.

“We have some very good arms out there,” manager Dusty Baker said. “I’m liking what I’m seeing, not only for now but later. We may need somebody during the season. I know our pitching has been much maligned, but I see some rapid improvement from what I’ve heard to what I’ve seen.”

Well, on the bright side of things, Baker does seem to like what we have. Lets just hope he likes it enough to know he needs to protect it (which means no 4 straight 120 pitch outtings for 22 year old pitchers).

“I think any time you do anything a second time, it should be easier,” said Sweet, who managed Bailey in Louisville in 2007. “The first time you experience the big leagues, it’s such a different experience. You’re not quite prepared for it, as much as we try to prepare them for it both mentally and physically. Once you get there, the next year should become easier.”

In the Minors, the 6-foot-4 Bailey could live on his excellent 94- to 98-mph fastball, but at times he was stubborn about using his other pitches. Control was an issue when he was with the Reds, as he walked 28 and struck out 28.

“I think when you’ve had as much success as he’s had, [you think], ‘Why do you need to make any changes or think about making changes?’ ” Sweet said. “One of the reasons Homer is so successful [is] he has so much confidence and belief in what he’s doing. That’s a positive, not a negative.”

This is something I have been saying about Bailey for a long time now and is one of the reasons I think he really needs to be in the big leagues more than others, because he isn’t going to learn as quickly in the minors as he would if he were in the majors.

On Johnny Cueto here are some of the things people had to say:

“The arm is there. The stuff is there. It’s a matter of time,” said former Reds pitcher Mario Soto, an organizational instructor who works with young pitchers in the Dominican Republic.

“I saw him pitch in the Dominican — he was pretty good,” said new closer Francisco Cordero, who also is from the Dominican Republic. “I believe he’s good, because every time we try to trade for someone, they always ask for Cueto. Something’s going on.”

Cueto senses how close he is to getting to the Majors.

“I feel already like I can be in the big leagues now,” Cueto said through interpreter and teammate Jerry Gil. “I feel 100 percent with everything — my pitches, anything. I think I have a good chance.”

Listed at 5-foot-10 and 183 pounds, Cueto isn’t a prototypical, big-statured pitcher like Bailey or Harang. What he lacks in size, though, he makes up with his pitches.

“There’s a lot of guys — Pedro Martinez and Greg Maddux — that aren’t that big,” Sweet said. “There are a lot of guys that have had success that are average size. To me, Cueto is so free and easy. That’s not something to be concerned about.”

Homer Bailey throws from the mound during spring training