Well, since I’m on the road back home to Cincinnati I thought that I’d go ahead and schedule a post without a ton to it, but would still be fun for everyone. The easiest thing for me was to toss up a quick video. And with Nick Senzel staying back on a breaking ball and crushing it over the fence on Saturday I figured it would be a good one to post.

Back to normal on Tuesday. Until then, enjoy the video.

32 Responses

  1. The Duke

    I got it with keeping him down with Schebler at CF to start the year, but i’m not sure about having Iglesias start. Definitely improves the infield defense quite a bit, but Iglesias is barely better than Billy Hamitlon at the plate.

    • Oldtimer

      Billy Hamilton scored almost half the time he got on base. Most Reds don’t do that.

      • MuddyCleats

        Exactly, which is why I say the OBP stat in & of itself is is slightly overrated.

      • Doc

        What was Senzel’s on base percentage and percent of time he score in AAA? Can’t compare with only half the data. I know his OBP was only .300 in the spring, without a BB, but as everyone concedes, spring data are usually not reliable, though I’d like to hope that the starters were representative of what we will see.

      • Oldtimer

        In 3 years in MiLB Senzel had .390 OBP in 990 PA for 386 times OB. He scored 145 runs or 37.6% of the time.

        Senzel >>>>> Hamilton offensively regardless.

      • IndyRedsFan

        Oldtimer and Muddy,

        If you want to talk about a stat that is over rated, the “percent of time he gets on base that he scores” is at the top of the list.

        First of all, it’s meaningless. A player who gets on base twice in 600 at bats and scores once “scores 50% of the time he gets on base”

        Secondly, in Hamilton’s case, he has always batted 1st or 9th. Therefore, he’s always had the 1,2 and 3 hitters, or the 2,3 and 4 hitters, coming up after him….arguably the best hitters to give you a chance be driven in.

        I will grant that, once on base, Hamilton’s speed gives him a better chance to score than others, but you still have to be able to get on base.

    • Wes

      The lineup looked stellar on mlb projections a couple weeks ago w senzel and scooter both in it. Not so much now. Be nice to see a few hot spring trainings carry over

    • donny

      Iglesias going to the national league where he sees more fastballs could make all the difference in the word. When you want to compare him to Billy Hamilton at the plate. I have seen it time and time again when a American league hitter comes to the National league he performs even better.

      • Doug Gray

        Why do you think the national league pitchers throw more fastballs?

      • donny

        Doug there is no data to support that. I was just in a positive mood trying to be positive, but changing leagues do tend to help some players. Maybe it’s the team. Better players hitting in front and behind the player.

  2. Oldtimer

    Senzel has good power but unlikely to be a big HR hitter. More 2B and 3B for his power. Guessing 20 HR (more or less) per season.

  3. MK

    No doubt the boy cab hit a hanging curve from a lefthander but I think most would agree if any hitters there can’t hit that pitch they shouldn’t be in camp.

  4. Chris

    Funniest part of this video is the catcher hollering to Senzel as he crosses the plate, “Good job Nick”.

  5. Shamrock

    Wow,
    If we can all figure out a way to get this video into Mr. Castellini’s hands I’m sure he will give this kid a blank check.
    What do you marks think…..perhaps 40yrs @ $500 billion?

  6. Simon Cowell

    I think NIck is going to have a great year. He will build up confidence and strength over this year. I think people are underselling his power development projection. One must consider the path that MLB is on as well. They are changing the rules to make pitchers pitch faster. That feeds right into a smart hitter such as Nick Senzel. He is going to eat up MLB pitchers.

    Question on that video footage. What is that black/dark grey backdrop in center field? Is that designed specifically for hitters to pick up the baseball?

    • MK

      Think it is black and just faded around the wind holes. Could also be a little sun glare.

  7. Bob Anderson

    Third base is his best spot. Suarez imo, peaked last year. Bet his numbers decline this year and he is gone by August. Too many holes in swing

    • MK

      He could decline from last year and still have a great year. His contract is team friendly don’t think he goes anywhere.

      • donny

        Exactly, a team like the small market Reds can’t afford 20 mill a year players at every position.
        Fans sometimes don’t seem to factor all of those things and a lot of other things in the equation when they make comments. Suarez with his production is very good value.

      • The Duke

        He had an .892 OPS last season. His OBP and slugging could drop 50 points each and he’s still an above average bat with a .792 OPS. That said, he’s 27 years old and is in his prime the next 4-5 seasons. This is one of the best contracts in baseball.

    • Big Ed

      I’ll take you up on that bet, Bob. 50 Grand that Suarez is still on the Reds 40-man roster on August 1?

  8. Reds Suck :(

    Aaaand he’s injured. Yep, he’s officially injury prone now. Awaiting results on an ankle injury in a minor league game today. Sucks.

  9. Cguy

    I’m sure we all hope it’s a minor twist or sprain and Nick is back in action soon. I believe that since Senzel is not on the active roster, he won’t be clocking ML service time while he’s injured. So all the angst & debate about Senzel on the OD roster or held back for an extra year of team control turns out to be much ado about nothin’

    • Doug Gray

      Well, you know – other than the fact that he probably is 100% healthy right now if he were actually on the roster.

      • Cguy

        I don’t understand, are you blaming his injury on his being demoted to the minor league camp?

      • Doug Gray

        I’m saying there’s almost no chance that if he were in Atlanta that he would be injured today.

  10. Simon Cowell

    I was assured by “reliable” sources that Nick Senzel isn’t injury prone. 2 injuries so far in 2019. How many in 2018?
    Some people can’t avoid being injured. On the surface that appears to be the case with Nick. Of course, he may never experience another injury again. Time will tell. It generally vindicates the loud mouth and annoying commenter that refuses to pucker up and agree with everyone else.

    • jon

      Then why order an MRI after negative x-ray. Probably worse than you think.