In 2018 Miguel Hernandez hit .301 for the Greeneville Reds. That earned him a week long promotion to the Billings Mustangs to end the season. The Reds sent him to Low-A Dayton to play with the Dragons to start the 2019 season. For the most part, it’s been a struggle at the plate for Hernandez. Through 118 games he’s hitting .245/.286/.335 on the year.

In April and May he struck out 55 times and had just 12 walks in 189 plate appearances. That’s a walk rate of 6.3% and a strikeout rate of 27.5%. Since June began, though, he’s really cut down on the strikeout rate. In 261 plate appearances since the start of that month and he’s struck out just 35 times. That’s a strikeout rate of just 13.4%. While the strikeout rate declined in a massive way, it didn’t immediately start showing up in turning out hits at a higher rate.

In June he hit .247, and that was followed up with a .216 mark in July. But things have really turned around in August for the 20-year-old shortstop from Venezuela. After going 3-3 last night for Dayton he’s now hitting .429 over his last 10 games and for the month of August he’s up to .345/.375/.500.

Connor Curlis keeps getting it done

If you would like a sobering stat about just how poorly the Reds pitching has been from a starting perspective in 2019 at the minor league level, let me hit you with this: There have been 21 pitches throw 75.0 or more innings on the farm this year. Three of them have an ERA under 4.00 – and one of them, Scott Moss, was traded to another organization in July. Packy Naughton has a 3.15 ERA in 145.2 innings between Daytona and Chattanooga this year. The other pitcher is Connor Curlis. Another fun fact: All three of those pitchers are left handed.

The season didn’t begin on time for Connor Curlis. The former Ohio State Buckeye began the year back in extended spring training. His first appearance didn’t come until May 20th and it came in relief. He only threw 0.2 innings that night, but three days later he took the mound as a starter. And that’s where he stayed through July 4th. He was promoted to Daytona to make two spot starts for the Tortugas in the middle of July, but returned to Dayton on July 20th.

That’s when the left-handed starter went on a real run. But his first game back came out of the bullpen, tossing 4.0 shutout innings with six strikeouts. He was back in the rotation the next time through and he’s remained there. Last night he allowed just one earned run over 6.0 innings.


After last night his ERA over his seven games since that July 20th appearance is 1.14. That run has helped drop his ERA on the season between both Dayton and Daytona to 2.27 over his 79.1 innings pitched. Curlis has allowed just 73 hits and walked 31 batters to go along with 73 strikeouts.

Since being called up from extended spring training, Connor Curlis has been rather consistent – with the lone exception coming in June. In May he posted a 2.79 ERA. In July his ERA was 1.78. And so far in August it’s 1.16. June, however, saw his ERA sit at 4.50. He struggled with control int he month, walking 15 batters in 16.0 innings. He’s walked 16 batters in the remaining 63.1 innings he’s thrown this season.

12 Responses

  1. JoJo

    Have you seen the farm system this weak in a while? After the advancement of senzel and vanmeter, things seem rather gloomy from my standpoint. Is there anything to be excited about, outside of maybe Ty Steve?

    • Oldtimer

      Vanmeter wasn’t even noticed by Reds or fans until 2019. Reds MiLB system is middle of the pack. Reds only need 1 or 2 good rookies per season.

    • Oldtimer

      Aquino and Ervin too. Two good young OF with potential.

    • The Duke

      The early 2000’a would have begged for a top 5 like Lodolo, Greene, Stephenson, India, and Garcia. Is it Bruce, Bailey, Cueto, Votto? No, but that’s a tall order. It looks like the Reds may have chosen wisely with Lodolo, if they can get another good pick next year the system is going to end 2020 in a good spot as no one in our top 5 is likely to graduate next year. Outside shot on Stephenson if he blows up the AAA ball and forces his way up to the bigs.

  2. Dylan

    That’s pretty rough. But also the top 2 pitching prospects aren’t included due to not hitting the innings. With Green being injured and Lodolo being on an inning limit. So still some hope.

  3. cinvenfan

    The Reds need quality more than quantity. Greene, Lodolo and Ty Steve, plus one or 2 guys like Siri, Herget, etc. make the system strong again.
    At the end, it’s the development system what has to be better at all levels.

  4. Billy

    Doug, you’ve made mention of the overhaul that the Reds have made throughout the organization, putting new faces in charge of things like the draft and player development. We’re nearing a year in the books now. How would you evaluate things? Is the relatively poor performance on the farm (in W/L and in prospect performance) more on the former regime or the current one? How much of a lag should we expect before a new regime’s plans start to really take root?

  5. SteveLV

    Farm system hasn’t been this weak in a while, but Oldtimer is right – only need 1 or 2 graduates a year. A graduate every 3 years or so needs to be a very, very good major leaguer.
    I’d add Garcia and Siani to the list. Very good defenders in high value positions. Garcia hitting well, Siani going through periods where hitting well and young for full year baseball.

  6. Jonathan Linn

    Weak! Lol. Check out the early 2000s – now that was a weak farm system with quite a few legitimate first round picks that bombed.

    This system still has Greene still has our first round 2019 pick plus India….

    • Oldtimer

      Or 1970s first round picks by Reds:

      1970 Gary Polczynski Shortstop Nathan Hale High School
      (West Allis, Wisconsin) 15
      1971 Mike Miley* Shortstop East Jefferson High School
      (Kenner, Louisiana) 24
      1972 Larry Paine Right-handed pitcher Huntsville High School
      (Huntsville, Texas) 7
      1973 Charles Kessler Outfielder Claremont High School
      (Claremont, California) 22
      1974 Steve Reed Right-handed pitcher Fort Wayne High School
      (Fort Wayne, Indiana) 23
      1975 Tony Moretto Outfielder William Henry Harrison High School
      (Evansville, Indiana) 22
      1976 Mark King Right-handed pitcher Owensboro High School
      (Owensboro, Kentucky) 23
      1977 Tad Venger Third baseman Hart High School
      (Newhall, California) 24
      1978 Nick Esasky Shortstop Carol City High School
      (Opa-locka, Florida) 17
      1979 Dan Lamar Catcher Bellaire High School
      (Houston, Texas) 20[a]
      1979 Mike Sullivan Right-handed pitcher Clemson University
      (Clemson, South Carolina) 22

  7. Cguy

    Pretty good line by Moss against the Bats tonight. 5IP, 1H, 0R, 3BB, & 7K. And no, I didn’t get to go.

  8. mustang john

    some of you guys need to view the minor league system in person by going to games o.r going to spring training. Some of these comments are ridiculous Great job Doug