Kiley McDaniel hasn’t been at ESPN for very long, but ever since arriving from Fangraphs he’s been putting out good content. On Wednesday he released his Top 100 Prospect list (behind the ESPN+ paywall) and it included five different Cincinnati Reds prospects.

The Reds were shut out of the Top 75, but they dominated the latter 25 spots on the list. Tyler Stephenson came in at #78 on the list. The catcher drew rave reviews for his raw power and arm strength from McDaniel in his report. Up next for Cincinnati is Jose Garcia, who cracked the list at #85. A shortstop who has been turning everyone’s head this spring with the start he’s out to, the write up on him notes multiple plus tools and his 2019 season being far more like what was expected from him when he signed.

Hunter Greene finds himself on the list a few spots later, coming in at #89 overall. The right-handed starter is still coming back from Tommy John surgery that he had 11 months ago. As we learned on Tuesday, Greene could begin his season in either Dayton or Daytona around June.

Greene was followed on the list immediately by another Cincinnati prospect – Nick Lodolo. The left-handed starter came in at #90 overall. With multiple strong pitches and control, his debut in 2019 was outstanding – though limited. Rounding out the list for Reds prospects is Jonathan India. He’s making his first appearance on a Top 100 list this offseason, though he came rather close to making the Baseball America list – being noted as one of the players who just missed. India came in at #94 on the ESPN list by McDaniel, who noted he’s likely a strong everyday player.

Let’s take a look at the breakdown of the rankings for each of the now five Cincinnati Reds prospects who have made at least one of the national publications Top 100 lists this offseason:

It continues to feel strange how a farm system with five players who have made Top 100 lists from reliable sources is considered to be among the worst farm systems in baseball. While they may not have a single “elite” level prospect, the Reds organization has plenty of real talent at the top end. Things continue to feel off with those rankings. But hey – at least for now, no one is asking me to contribute to those kinds of rankings.

12 Responses

  1. SultanofSwaff

    Exactly. Any team with 5 in the top 100 should have their system ranked higher. I particularly don’t understand how little appreciation there is for Tyler Stephenson. 1st round catchers who put up good numbers in AA don’t exactly grow on trees.

  2. RojoBenjy

    As long as the Reds farm system translates into championship MLB teams, we’ll all be happy regardless. But we’re allowed to take names on those that didn’t respect.

    • Oldtimer

      Exactly what happened in mid 1970s. Reds MiLB system stopped producing stars of 1960s and early 1970s.

      Reds MiLB system in mid 1980s improved greatly.

  3. Norwood Nate

    I was saying as much a few weeks ago. I would think this is what a middle of the pack system looks like.

  4. Stock

    I am not too concerned about where the system is ranked and where each individual is ranked right now. I don’t think anyone graduates this year so I am really interested in where they will rank in 12 months.

    My guess is that Garcia moves into the top 10.

    If Driveline (Boddy) and a couple of MPH to Lodolo FB he too moves into the top 10. If not he is top 25.

    Greene moves into top 25.

    Stephenson moves into top 40. He moves to Louisville this summer so if he starts hitting HR he moves into top 25.

    I guess if Stephenson and Garcia both play really well there is a chance they see the show this summer.

    Interesting that Stephenson made 2 of the 6 lists. But in both of the two he made he is the Reds best prospect.

  5. MK

    The problem for me on these lists is just shown in the evaluations of Lodolo and Greene. In most cases Greene is ahead and on one a lot ahead. No doubt both worthy of recognition but when considering all the factors from health, to experience, to stuff; the only place Greene wins is 5 miles an hour on a fast ball and no one is sure if that is the case anymore. I would love to evaluate the lists from 10 years ago to see where the guys on there lists ended up.

    • Stock

      I think Lodolo has the upside of DeSclafani and the floor of Mahle.
      Greene has the upside of Castillo and the downside of out of baseball due to injury. The question becomes how do you weight the probabilities of each. I am hoping Boddy is working with Lodolo and by the end of the year he will have the upside of Castillo and the floor of DeSclafani. That would make him a top 10 prospect and above Greene.

  6. cinvenfan

    I never get some takes. GreeneĀ“s FB was around 101 mph, great athletism and a consensus top-3 in the draft. Not counting a great make up. TJ surgery happened. Like MANY pitchers nowdays. In fact, evaluators are bit harsh on the kid.

    India, I agree.

    • Tom

      Greene falls into that category of HS RHP that throws way too hard but is way too tempting for teams to pass on. Unfortunately he’s lumped in with Kolek and Pint and others. I believe he has something that is “it” that will allow him success, but for now it is so easy to write him off because he’s in an unenviable category that is easy to dismiss. Plain and simple, he has something to prove, and he’s got to prove it. Nothing will be handed to him at this point.

      India is a late bloomer. Not what you want from the 5th pick, but given time he could have a nice 15-20 WAR career.

    • Doug Gray

      Hunter Greene is nothing like Kolek or Pint.

      Tyler Kolek walked 74 batters in 130.2 innings before he got hurt.

      Riley Pint has 124 walks in 156.0 career innings.

      Greene has already shown that from a pure talent perspective, he’s on an entirely different planet than those two guys.

  7. DHud

    Hunter Greene is 20 yrs old.

    India has less than 700 professional plate appearances (during which he has a .369 OBP)

    The sky is not falling dude

  8. Doug Gray

    I deleted one comment because the user’s language just wasn’t appropriate. In turn, it deleted the responses to that comment, too. So if you see something that you left, and now it’s gone – that’s why.