Today’s entry to the 2020 Major League Baseball Draft Scouting Report series (you can read all of the reports here) is for Mississippi State right-handed pitcher JT Ginn. He’s currently rated as the #23 prospect in the draft by Baseball America, the #26 prospect by Fangraphs, and the #44 prospect by MLB Pipeline.

The 2019 Season

After being selected in the 1st round by the Dodgers in 2018, J.T. Ginn passed up signing and headed off to Mississippi State where he joined the rotation. The right-hander made 17 starts as a freshman and had a strong year, posting a 3.13 ERA while throwing 86.1 innings with 19 walks, just one home run allowed, and he struck out 105 batters. His 1.05 WHIP really stands out.

The 2020 Season

Looking to build on a strong freshman showing, the draft-eligible sophomore didn’t get the chance. Unlike most of the players around the country, it wasn’t the coronavirus shut down that cost him his chance to show what he had done, but instead an injury. In his first start of the season, J.T. Ginn left the game after just 3.0 innings. He would have Tommy John surgery in early March and will obviously miss any baseball that takes place this year as he rehabs.

JT Ginn College Stats

JT Ginn Video

JT Ginn Scouting Report

Height: 6′ 2″ | Weight: 192 lbs

Bats: Right | Throws: Right

Position(s): Right-handed Starting Pitcher

When he was healthy he works in the 91-95 MPH range, and touched as high as 99 while in high school, but hadn’t quite reached that high while at Mississippi State. He will mix in a plus slider and an above-average change up as his secondary offerings – giving him a full arsenal of quality pitches to attack hitters with. But he’s more than just a quality stuff guy, he also throws plenty of strikes.

Where the concern could be

The concern is that he’s one of the few that doesn’t recover fully from Tommy John surgery. While the successful recovery rate is very high, it’s not 100%. Some guys just don’t come back to what they were before the injury. Between that risk, and the lost developmental time there’s a much larger risk/reward analysis with J.T. Ginn than almost anyone in the draft.

One Response

  1. Colorado Red

    Hind sight is 20/20, It is very risky to not sign (even with the hated dodgers), if a 1st rounder. Good luck kid. Do not draft him in the 1st round.